Well that's kind of my point Rusty, it is also my entire reason for participating in these polls. As I said in the very beginning when rlm started having these polls, and have said a few more times along the way, I do not even try to estimate what the TPG said, I estimate what I personally think the grade should be. Now I do that for what I consider to be a very good reason. I do it because I believe that the TPGs have changed their grading standards greatly (for the worse) in recent years. And hopefully my grade estimates will cause at least a couple of people to look at the coins and the grade assigned by the TPG and say - huh ? Ya see, I have played this game of guess the grade with hundreds of thousands of coins of all denominations. And in years past I was pretty dang good at it. It was pretty unusual for me to look at a coin and have my grade be any different than what the TPG assigned. My accuracy rate was well over 90%. But then it began to change. I found myself looking at a coin, assigning my grade, then looking at the TPG grade and saying - huh ? They are kidding, right ? And it wasn't just with higher graded (65 and up) coins, it was across the board. And in the last 2 or 3 years it's got even worse, or more prevalent anyway. I knew it wasn't me that changed, that left only 1 option. So I feel it is important for people to at least hear a conflicting opinion if for no other reason than to ask questions about how that coin possibly got that grade. If nothing else it will serve them well for if they consider my point of view then the coins they select for their own collections will be among the best. Yes, it is certainly possible that a coin can change or develop spots in the slab - after grading. But there are 2 dangers with making the assumption that is indeed what has happened. One danger is that you are making an excuse for the TPG. You look at the coin, see those spots, and say to yourself - there's no way that coin deserves that grade. And because of your faith in the TPG you make the excuse for them saying, oh, well, the spots obviously developed after the coin was slabbed. No way they would make that mistake ! But what if they did make that mistake ? That is the other possibility. And if they did make that mistake, then your faith in that company is sadly misplaced isn't it. Do you really believe for one minute that every single coin that you look at and question changed in the slab ? Some of them ? Yeah, I'll give it to ya. But all of them ? Not me bud, I'm not a fish swallowing that line. But even more importantly than that. What really matters here ? Yeah the game is to guess the grade that the TPG assigned. But what about the grade the coin is now ? Are we just supposed to forget that ? Even if you are correct and the spots developed after slabbing, if the coin was graded 66 and had no spots, once the coin developed those spots it is no longer a 66 ! It has become a 65, or a 64 or whatever. Even PCGS states flat out that coin with spots should not be graded 65. So if that holder says 66 or even worse 67, and the coin has spots - the coin is not graded correctly ! And it doesn't matter what it used to be, the only thing that really matters is what it is now ! Let's not forget that. Luster is very important, it always has been. And it doesn't matter whether you follow TPG standards or ANA standards, luster is the single most important grading criteria there is. There's a couple of reasons for that. Number one is that luster tells you more about the coin than anything else. A break in the luster is what shows you rub, wear or mishandling. It also helps tell you the quality of the strike, and it helps you see contact marks and hairlines. And luster is what creates eye appeal, or most of it. There are 6 basic criteria for grading, most people don't even pay attention to two of them. But that doesn't mean they just go away, they are still part of the criteria for accurate grading. They are - planchet quality, strike, contact marks, hairlines, luster, and eye appeal. And as I was saying above, luster has an impact on 5 of those 6 things. So it is the single most important criteria. But just because it is most important, that does not mean that great, booming, luster makes contact marks invisible or go away. A coin can have the very best luster that any coin ever had, but if that coin has 3 or 4 large contact marks in prime focal areas then that coin is not deserving of a Gem grade (65 or higher). Period, end of story. Same thing goes with all of the other grading criteria and luster. A coin is only deserving of a Gem grade when it meets it all of the criteria requirements for the respective grade. Not just 1 or 2 of them !
That would presume that I had "faith" in the TPG to begin with...and I do not. TPG graders are human, and like all humans, we are imperfect and prone to err. Furthermore, grading is subjective and therefore not an exact science. I certainly realize that. Please also note that when talking about spots I generally use the term "you never know". The point being, that unless we saw the coin before it was graded we don't know -- and, with all due respect, neither do you. Lastly, these threads are "guess the grade [that the TPG assigned]", not "assign your grade to the coin". To be frank, and much like you, I disagree with many grades on these coins -- but I simply go with the flow, brother.
I know Mike. But if we don't speak up now and then aren't we doing people a disservice ? There are a great many people who follow these threads and try to learn proper grading from reading the comments and looking at the pictures, and the grades the TPGs assign. And if when we disagree with the assigned grade we stay quiet, what are those people going to learn ? They'll learn the wrong way is what. Sorry, but I'm just not in favor of that. I'm here to share knowledge, to try and teach when I can, and to learn when I can. And if only 1 person ever listens, then I've done what I set out to do
I went with 64...there are alot of hits on the obv and rev, but the luster and red helps keep it in the midrange, maybe 65.
You should use the +x method Doug.. assign the grade you feel the coin warrants and then +whatever you think the tpg assigned it. I started this thread consistently grading under what the tpg assigned, then went to a standard offset between what I felt the coin was and what I felf the tpg assigned and starting doing pretty good... even went on tear at one point in which I hit 20 or so dead on.. averaged around .1something, which is right in your 90% ball park. The method works pretty good, from what I have seen. Works better for NGC, a bit less reliable for PCGS. Now only if I could estimate the coins I actually submit to the tpg as well as I grade these,, I think I'm getting better grading coin from RLM pictures than with the coin in hand !!
So now I learn what the 65+1 means . LOL Great way to show the grade . There's going to be a lot of 2s and some threes .
FWIW, I think you make a fair point. The problem is that I (and others) have to read it thousands of times, and we already get it...so perhaps there's a better place (or better way, as baha suggests) to jump on your soapbox. Just some food for thought, respectfully submitted...Mike
I have no idea what is above the left wheat, but I suspect that it is from the planchet. Aside from that, most of the rest of the marks I see appear to be from the planchet - except that one on his collar. Luster and strike are both solid. I am not sure just how they balance everything, but to me this is either a good 65 or a poor 66. NGC opted for the latter.
This is about as little a change as I have seen. I mean bahabully and BadThad traded places - sort of. They were 0.001 apart and the now are at the same score. Top 10. Columns are rank, name, average, and number of guesses. swhuck 0.458 50 rzage 0.464 30 BadThad 0.500 48 bahabully 0.500 50 Leadfoot 0.538 41 ddoomm1 0.606 35 ldhair 0.606 35 mark_h 0.681 49 Shoewrecky 0.682 46 jcakcoin 0.694 38
I was a quarter of an inch from giving this a 65. I thought about it so long I didn't vote until like yesterday when you bumped it. I'm pretty sure if submitted to PCGS today it'd get a 65. Baha - Don't worry, I'm sure I'll give you your spot back soon enough my friend. LOL
Gosh Mike I was #1 for a whole week , you've been #1 for a long time a few times , and never out of the top 5 since I can remember .
haha,, it comes and then fades doesn't it brother. I went on such a tear a while back that I simply stopped spending minutes looking and went to seconds before submitting my grade... it showed. Have been trying harder since I faded to the back side of the top 10... the way the score is maintained it's a long hard road back, but am very happy to be neck and neck with ya again.
Yea, I've been taking more time lately. I was doing the TPG 10 second grade and it hurt me, I got shoved down to 10th. Now I'm doing more calculations in my mind over a few days before I decide. Sometimes you see stuff you missed when you look a day or two later.