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<p>[QUOTE="Suarez, post: 4002733, member: 99239"]Tejas, you can't extrapolate from the sale of a single piece to encompass the whole of the ancient coin trade and expect to get a realistic picture. </p><p><br /></p><p>In a nutshell, the proper way of assessing this is you take all the auction sales for the type of coin you want to track and average the cost of those sales totals divvied up by year then note the trends. Yes, people go crazy in NY in January but the auction fever effect of those few days has only a small effect when spread out throughout the year. As far as I can tell the fabled "hoard find" effect has never registered a drop in prices regardless of the size of the hoard. Never. As it not once throughout recorded history. To prove me wrong all you'd need to do is show me how X sold consistently in a range A-B prior to some date and then in a higher range afterwards.</p><p><br /></p><p>Rasiel[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Suarez, post: 4002733, member: 99239"]Tejas, you can't extrapolate from the sale of a single piece to encompass the whole of the ancient coin trade and expect to get a realistic picture. In a nutshell, the proper way of assessing this is you take all the auction sales for the type of coin you want to track and average the cost of those sales totals divvied up by year then note the trends. Yes, people go crazy in NY in January but the auction fever effect of those few days has only a small effect when spread out throughout the year. As far as I can tell the fabled "hoard find" effect has never registered a drop in prices regardless of the size of the hoard. Never. As it not once throughout recorded history. To prove me wrong all you'd need to do is show me how X sold consistently in a range A-B prior to some date and then in a higher range afterwards. Rasiel[/QUOTE]
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