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<p>[QUOTE="-jeffB, post: 5193158, member: 27832"]Absolutely, and the classic "high upside or nothing" play is <i>lottery tickets</i>.</p><p><br /></p><p>Buying and selling gold or silver retail isn't a "high upside or <i>nothing</i>" play, though. It's a "starting out with two strikes" play, I guess -- you have to pay a premium when you buy it, and you have to accept a discount when you sell it. <i>If</i> the metal goes up enough between the time you buy and the time you sell, you <i>can</i> make money, but there's no guarantee.</p><p><br /></p><p>There are people who bought silver in 2011 and 2012 who are <i>still</i> waiting for a chance to get their money back out of it. They may have to wait a lot longer. Gold just recently topped its 2011 high, but it's already fallen back some, and there's no guarantee it won't fall back more.</p><p><br /></p><p>Sure, if the dollar collapses, the <i>nominal</i> price of PMs will go up. Even if we just continue with 1%-2% inflation for decades to come, <i>eventually</i> PMs will hit new dollar price highs. But that doesn't matter, because their <i>value</i> will continue to fluctuate as it always has. An ounce of gold might "always buy a nice men's suit", but sometimes it'll be Brooks Brothers, and sometimes it'll be Men's Wearhouse.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="-jeffB, post: 5193158, member: 27832"]Absolutely, and the classic "high upside or nothing" play is [I]lottery tickets[/I]. Buying and selling gold or silver retail isn't a "high upside or [I]nothing[/I]" play, though. It's a "starting out with two strikes" play, I guess -- you have to pay a premium when you buy it, and you have to accept a discount when you sell it. [I]If[/I] the metal goes up enough between the time you buy and the time you sell, you [I]can[/I] make money, but there's no guarantee. There are people who bought silver in 2011 and 2012 who are [I]still[/I] waiting for a chance to get their money back out of it. They may have to wait a lot longer. Gold just recently topped its 2011 high, but it's already fallen back some, and there's no guarantee it won't fall back more. Sure, if the dollar collapses, the [I]nominal[/I] price of PMs will go up. Even if we just continue with 1%-2% inflation for decades to come, [I]eventually[/I] PMs will hit new dollar price highs. But that doesn't matter, because their [I]value[/I] will continue to fluctuate as it always has. An ounce of gold might "always buy a nice men's suit", but sometimes it'll be Brooks Brothers, and sometimes it'll be Men's Wearhouse.[/QUOTE]
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