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<p>[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 50190, member: 3011"]Thanks a lot for the replies. This is extremely helpful. Based on this discussion, I'll stick with third party graded coins. I never thought about foreign coins, but I guess that's another area to explore. I definitely prefer old to new, and something with low enough mintage that someday it might be more difficult to find. I'm not overly concerned about the price of gold falling over the long run because of the natural inflation built into our monetary system. I had planned to minimize the numismatic risk by sticking to coins with a reasonably small premium over bullion value, but now I understand that there is no clear-cut right answer. I'm a bit concerned with stereotyping. Gold investors are "supposed to buy" high grade common date gold coins. Collectors are "supposed to build" type sets or date and mint mark sets. The $20 coins seem to carry the smallest premium over bullion value, with some $10s a close second. I agree with the observations that this sort of thing lends itself to statistical analysis, which I don't have. For what it's worth, this is what I've found out so far from reading.</p><p><br /></p><p>For a long time, common date uncirculated gold coins were priced around 48% over melt value. This old rule changed when gold went thorough the roof around 1980, but seems worth keeping in mind.</p><p><br /></p><p>MS63 $20 liberties have ranged from $385 to $1,600 since the mid 80s and are around $785 now.</p><p>MS63 $20 saints have ranged from $350 to $1,250 since the mid 80s and are around $650 now.</p><p><br /></p><p>Maybe I should buy one saint and one liberty and see where things go from there. Maybe it will turn into a type set. Maybe I'll mix a couple of lower quality coins with better coins. It seems that as long as you don't overpay, there's no such thing as "bad gold." I'm sure I'll run out of money before I run out of things to buy.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cloudsweeper99, post: 50190, member: 3011"]Thanks a lot for the replies. This is extremely helpful. Based on this discussion, I'll stick with third party graded coins. I never thought about foreign coins, but I guess that's another area to explore. I definitely prefer old to new, and something with low enough mintage that someday it might be more difficult to find. I'm not overly concerned about the price of gold falling over the long run because of the natural inflation built into our monetary system. I had planned to minimize the numismatic risk by sticking to coins with a reasonably small premium over bullion value, but now I understand that there is no clear-cut right answer. I'm a bit concerned with stereotyping. Gold investors are "supposed to buy" high grade common date gold coins. Collectors are "supposed to build" type sets or date and mint mark sets. The $20 coins seem to carry the smallest premium over bullion value, with some $10s a close second. I agree with the observations that this sort of thing lends itself to statistical analysis, which I don't have. For what it's worth, this is what I've found out so far from reading. For a long time, common date uncirculated gold coins were priced around 48% over melt value. This old rule changed when gold went thorough the roof around 1980, but seems worth keeping in mind. MS63 $20 liberties have ranged from $385 to $1,600 since the mid 80s and are around $785 now. MS63 $20 saints have ranged from $350 to $1,250 since the mid 80s and are around $650 now. Maybe I should buy one saint and one liberty and see where things go from there. Maybe it will turn into a type set. Maybe I'll mix a couple of lower quality coins with better coins. It seems that as long as you don't overpay, there's no such thing as "bad gold." I'm sure I'll run out of money before I run out of things to buy.[/QUOTE]
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