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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;medoraman, post: 1268587, member: 26302&quot;]I think its wonderful that Mr. Bland commented back to you so quickly. I find his attribution to an upcoming book admirable inasmuch he did not invent the figure. I find it hard to drop that kind of number based upon a book not even released, though, so therefor not yet subject to other professionals opinions on the matter. If the quote would have been from an existing book, then comments on it from others pro or con could be collected. To me this is the danger of quoting an unpublished book, especially not noting the source of the number in Mr. Bland&#039;s book.</p><p><br /></p><p>Like I said, I see where the logic is, but I simply see a few rather large assumptions being made to get there. First, assuming that a usurper would have the same materials for dies and production capacity. That is what is being assumed by implying the ratio of dies to coins has to be the same. Is it reasonable to believe that a very short lived usurper in the sticks would have the same means of production and materials as the gallic emperor? Second, I have seen the 30,000 number being tossed out as an estimate before, and supporters and opponents quickly line up sides. I am sure it would be possible to achieve such numbers personally, in perfect conditions, but I think that number is high in less than perfect conditions that we are describing. Third, while an assumption that a hoard is representative of the general coin population is on the surface very plausible, there is no way of knowing this. I think back to many hoards containing great many rarities. Those have been proven to be abnormally distributed. Also timing and geography would also have a great deal to do with that assumption. </p><p><br /></p><p>I am no expert by any means, but given the vast numbers quoted versus relative abundance of these emperors versus other Roman emperors, I simply cannot reconcile today&#039;s relative rarity unless it is assumed that the Roman empire in its height was producing well into the billions every year. </p><p><br /></p><p>I am sure I am wrong in my logic there somewhere, and I am equally sure others here can answer more authoritatively, but that would be my take.</p><p><br /></p><p>Chris[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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