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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;MrOrange1970, post: 2828796, member: 80547&quot;]I&#039;d call it a lesson learned.&nbsp; </p><p><br /></p><p>Let&#039;s go by the numbers game.&nbsp; With the added knowledge that since the Wayte Raymond collectors boards of the 30&#039;s people have been pulling the low mintage coins from their pocket change.&nbsp; So &quot;Grandpa&#039;s&quot; rolled coins (even if legit) were already culled from a shallow pool.</p><p><br /></p><p>That said, let&#039;s go pure numbers.&nbsp; Here are the key dates (assuming you want to strike it rich not just get a good semi-key)</p><p>1909 S VDB</p><p>1909 S</p><p>1914 D</p><p>1924 D</p><p>1922 (no D strong reverse estimated survival 15,000) I&#039;m throwing this in as a bonus</p><p>1931 S (not insanely valuable considering people knew it was a low mintage and survival estimates are very high)</p><p><br /></p><p>These key coins amount to a total mintage of 6,903,000</p><p>The mintages of all the other years/mint marks (1909-1958) totals at 25,837,437,757</p><p>This gives you a 0.027% chance of getting a key coin! So roughly 3/100&#039;s of one percent chance.... And again, this is with the assumption that</p><p>1. All the coins are still out there (non lost or destroyed)</p><p>2. As mentioned no one has picked any of the keys from the calculated numbers</p><p>3. Even if we include semi-keys, the odds are very low and circulated lower grades are pretty affordable anyway.&nbsp; </p><p><br /></p><p>My opinion is that buying a scratch ticket to hopefully fund a key date purchase, will give you a better chance than getting an &quot;unsearched roll&quot; from an unethical (maybe not illegal) EBAY seller.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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