Log in or Sign up
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
Ancient Coins
>
Dropping auction prices?
>
Reply to Thread
Message:
<p>[QUOTE="Cherd, post: 8463611, member: 24754"]I only buy slabbed coins, so Heritage is unfortunately my only source for reliably cyclic auctions. I've been pretty stand-offish the last couple of years because I can't stand the idea of buying a coin for twice what it woulda cost 4 years ago.</p><p><br /></p><p>I still scour the auctions with the intent to participate, and my ritual involves plotting sales trends of the coin/grade that I'm interested in winning. What I've noticed is that prices have definitely been at least plateauing in 2022. I also find the occasional coin that dips below the expected value, evidenced by the fact that I've actually started picking up a couple of coins lately.</p><p><br /></p><p>And then there is the occasional trend that seems to indicate that prices may be dropping, like the trend below that popped out when plotting up Vespasian Ch VFs. I generate the plots by removing all obvious outliers and calculating moving averages to limit the number of sequential points to 6 per year (Or leave gaps when there are less than 6 in a year).</p><p><br /></p><p>[ATTACH=full]1499612[/ATTACH] </p><p><br /></p><p>This seems to indicate promising things for people looking for prices to drop! <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie2" alt=";)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /></p><p><br /></p><p>From what I've been able to tell, lower quality/common coins have been dropping recently while higher quality/rarer coins are plateauing. I only track Roman Imperials though, so I don't really have a feel for whether these trends hold for Roman Republic or other categories of ancients.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Cherd, post: 8463611, member: 24754"]I only buy slabbed coins, so Heritage is unfortunately my only source for reliably cyclic auctions. I've been pretty stand-offish the last couple of years because I can't stand the idea of buying a coin for twice what it woulda cost 4 years ago. I still scour the auctions with the intent to participate, and my ritual involves plotting sales trends of the coin/grade that I'm interested in winning. What I've noticed is that prices have definitely been at least plateauing in 2022. I also find the occasional coin that dips below the expected value, evidenced by the fact that I've actually started picking up a couple of coins lately. And then there is the occasional trend that seems to indicate that prices may be dropping, like the trend below that popped out when plotting up Vespasian Ch VFs. I generate the plots by removing all obvious outliers and calculating moving averages to limit the number of sequential points to 6 per year (Or leave gaps when there are less than 6 in a year). [ATTACH=full]1499612[/ATTACH] This seems to indicate promising things for people looking for prices to drop! ;) From what I've been able to tell, lower quality/common coins have been dropping recently while higher quality/rarer coins are plateauing. I only track Roman Imperials though, so I don't really have a feel for whether these trends hold for Roman Republic or other categories of ancients.[/QUOTE]
Your name or email address:
Do you already have an account?
No, create an account now.
Yes, my password is:
Forgot your password?
Stay logged in
Coin Talk
Home
Forums
>
Coin Forums
>
Ancient Coins
>
Dropping auction prices?
>
Home
Home
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Activity
Recent Posts
Forums
Forums
Quick Links
Search Forums
Recent Posts
Competitions
Competitions
Quick Links
Competition Index
Rules, Terms & Conditions
Gallery
Gallery
Quick Links
Search Media
New Media
Showcase
Showcase
Quick Links
Search Items
Most Active Members
New Items
Directory
Directory
Quick Links
Directory Home
New Listings
Members
Members
Quick Links
Notable Members
Current Visitors
Recent Activity
New Profile Posts
Sponsors
Menu
Search
Search titles only
Posted by Member:
Separate names with a comma.
Newer Than:
Search this thread only
Search this forum only
Display results as threads
Useful Searches
Recent Posts
More...