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<p>[QUOTE="IdesOfMarch01, post: 1906026, member: 39084"]You raise some valid points. I have to agree that it would be unreasonable to ask a grading service to financially guarantee a coin's authenticity at a certain level of value (e.g., say $2,000 for a Julius Caesar portrait denarius) mainly due to the cost impact of such guarantees.</p><p><br /></p><p>However, I still wonder what it means for the grading service (or, for that matter, any expert) to declare an ancient coin to be "authentic." Take, for example, the Ides of March aureus sold a few years ago: </p><p><br /></p><p><img src="http://www.acsearch.info/images/2/11237.jpg" class="bbCodeImage wysiwygImage" alt="" unselectable="on" /></p><p><br /></p><p>My sense is that about 50% of expert dealers believe this coin is genuine, the other 50% believe it's fake. But that didn't prevent the coin from selling for over $260,000 in 2008. So if one of the dealers in the former category is willing to authenticate the coin, what does that mean? If 99% of experts consider the coin fake, then of course the value wouldn't be $260K, but if it's 50/50, does that mean the 50% who are willing to declare the coin authentic is sufficient to support the auction price? Would it have been higher if 90% of expert dealers consider the coin authentic?</p><p><br /></p><p>To some extent, my point here is that I'm more willing to trust an expert, experienced dealer (or group of dealers) regarding the authenticity of an ancient coin, than I am to trust a coin's authenticity just because it's been slabbed by a grading service.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="IdesOfMarch01, post: 1906026, member: 39084"]You raise some valid points. I have to agree that it would be unreasonable to ask a grading service to financially guarantee a coin's authenticity at a certain level of value (e.g., say $2,000 for a Julius Caesar portrait denarius) mainly due to the cost impact of such guarantees. However, I still wonder what it means for the grading service (or, for that matter, any expert) to declare an ancient coin to be "authentic." Take, for example, the Ides of March aureus sold a few years ago: [IMG]http://www.acsearch.info/images/2/11237.jpg[/IMG] My sense is that about 50% of expert dealers believe this coin is genuine, the other 50% believe it's fake. But that didn't prevent the coin from selling for over $260,000 in 2008. So if one of the dealers in the former category is willing to authenticate the coin, what does that mean? If 99% of experts consider the coin fake, then of course the value wouldn't be $260K, but if it's 50/50, does that mean the 50% who are willing to declare the coin authentic is sufficient to support the auction price? Would it have been higher if 90% of expert dealers consider the coin authentic? To some extent, my point here is that I'm more willing to trust an expert, experienced dealer (or group of dealers) regarding the authenticity of an ancient coin, than I am to trust a coin's authenticity just because it's been slabbed by a grading service.[/QUOTE]
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