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<p>[QUOTE="IdesOfMarch01, post: 2215632, member: 39084"]I'm looking at the results from Heritage's Roman Republican and Roman Imperial coins and the results look pretty strong -- almost all sold for well over their (lowball) estimate/starting price. Only three lots unsold, and maybe these were estimated too high.</p><p><br /></p><p>Auctions can be high-variance events. If two or more buyers get caught up in a bidding frenzy, the final price might bear no resemblance to the future value of a coin, at least not for many years. Mediocre coins with high estimates usually don't fool the kinds of bidders who frequent these auctions. On the other hand, very high quality coins usually shine at such auctions, especially if the auction house aggressively markets those coins to its known customers.</p><p><br /></p><p>I also wonder about the lowballing of starting prices and/or estimates. Take this example at the upcoming Kunker auction:</p><p><br /></p><p>[ATTACH=full]433417[/ATTACH] This has a ridiculously low starting price of 40,000 Euros despite the fact that it sold at the January 2009 Lanz auction for $105,000 plus 15% buyer's fee! This is clearly a $150,000+ coin, but the starting price is low to encourage a lot of bidding and excitement. I'll be surprised if it fetches less than $200K, but we'll see.</p><p><br /></p><p>It's always best to set a budget whenever you venture into any auction for any level of coin, and be prepared to be a little flexible but not excitable. I've won a number of bargains with this approach, but lost more than a few that ended up 3x - 5x time my maximum bid, and 8x - 10x times the estimate.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="IdesOfMarch01, post: 2215632, member: 39084"]I'm looking at the results from Heritage's Roman Republican and Roman Imperial coins and the results look pretty strong -- almost all sold for well over their (lowball) estimate/starting price. Only three lots unsold, and maybe these were estimated too high. Auctions can be high-variance events. If two or more buyers get caught up in a bidding frenzy, the final price might bear no resemblance to the future value of a coin, at least not for many years. Mediocre coins with high estimates usually don't fool the kinds of bidders who frequent these auctions. On the other hand, very high quality coins usually shine at such auctions, especially if the auction house aggressively markets those coins to its known customers. I also wonder about the lowballing of starting prices and/or estimates. Take this example at the upcoming Kunker auction: [ATTACH=full]433417[/ATTACH] This has a ridiculously low starting price of 40,000 Euros despite the fact that it sold at the January 2009 Lanz auction for $105,000 plus 15% buyer's fee! This is clearly a $150,000+ coin, but the starting price is low to encourage a lot of bidding and excitement. I'll be surprised if it fetches less than $200K, but we'll see. It's always best to set a budget whenever you venture into any auction for any level of coin, and be prepared to be a little flexible but not excitable. I've won a number of bargains with this approach, but lost more than a few that ended up 3x - 5x time my maximum bid, and 8x - 10x times the estimate.[/QUOTE]
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