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<p>[QUOTE=&quot;World Colonial, post: 2464613, member: 78153&quot;]It is a nice find but isn&#039;t that hard to believe because the coin is almost certainly not remotely as scarce as the consensus seems to believe. </p><p><br /></p><p>An earlier reply here provided the PCGS Coin Facts estimates.&nbsp; As I tried to explain, there isn&#039;t really any reason to believe their accuracy.&nbsp; These numbers imply a survival rate of about .15% and .35% for two coins struck approximately 15 years before folder collecting was introduced and shortly after became the most widespread form of collecting.&nbsp; Does that remotely make any sense?&nbsp;&nbsp; The estimates included in my Gilboy reference aren&#039;t precise but these numbers are apparently lower than some of the Mexico (1732-1771) and Peru (1752-1772) pillar 1/2R and 1R I collect.&nbsp; If the 16-d has a survival rate of about 4% with 10,000, I can see why the survival rate is higher but not remotely that much.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>

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