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collecting strategically - Question re: future "investment" value
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<p>[QUOTE="cladking, post: 3160464, member: 68"]If you want to tread water then certainly get into areas that are underpriced today yet still popular. Things like nice attractive and well struck bust coins are going to do better going forward but all the major trends will still work against you so getting your money back plus the inflation will be about the best you can do the next twenty years. </p><p><br /></p><p>Most of the growth in numismatics will be in other countries and this is where the spectacular gains have been for the last dozen years. Modern base metal world coins in Gem have simply soared because they weren't available and weren't collected. They still aren't very available but they are collected in the country of origin. Prices have exploded especially in select countries and especially for nice quality Gems. I'm confident this explosion will continue and encompass many more moderns and more countries. </p><p><br /></p><p>But, it is largely played out already and the low hanging frit has mostly been snatched up already. I checked out a coin show recently and couldn't find a single desirable modern on the cheap. In the old days you could find as many as fifty at a single dealer and sometimes even small quantities of rarities. Getting started here is getting expensive and no matter how high they go the returns will be muted by all the mistakes you are certain to make. My mistakes were 25c or a dollar. Now making a $1000 mistake will be fairly easy.</p><p><br /></p><p>But there are still vast swathes of world coins that are vastly underappreciated because they are still ignored. I'm talking about rarities. Also there are numerous early 20th century virtually unknown in Unc and quite scarce in XF that can be had for a dollar or two. </p><p><br /></p><p>The difficulty in working in any uncharted area is that it is uncharted. Nobody can tell you old Haitian coins are tough in AU so you have to look at a lot of coins to know. </p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Watch out for India. This market is going to stun people for 50 years.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="cladking, post: 3160464, member: 68"]If you want to tread water then certainly get into areas that are underpriced today yet still popular. Things like nice attractive and well struck bust coins are going to do better going forward but all the major trends will still work against you so getting your money back plus the inflation will be about the best you can do the next twenty years. Most of the growth in numismatics will be in other countries and this is where the spectacular gains have been for the last dozen years. Modern base metal world coins in Gem have simply soared because they weren't available and weren't collected. They still aren't very available but they are collected in the country of origin. Prices have exploded especially in select countries and especially for nice quality Gems. I'm confident this explosion will continue and encompass many more moderns and more countries. But, it is largely played out already and the low hanging frit has mostly been snatched up already. I checked out a coin show recently and couldn't find a single desirable modern on the cheap. In the old days you could find as many as fifty at a single dealer and sometimes even small quantities of rarities. Getting started here is getting expensive and no matter how high they go the returns will be muted by all the mistakes you are certain to make. My mistakes were 25c or a dollar. Now making a $1000 mistake will be fairly easy. But there are still vast swathes of world coins that are vastly underappreciated because they are still ignored. I'm talking about rarities. Also there are numerous early 20th century virtually unknown in Unc and quite scarce in XF that can be had for a dollar or two. The difficulty in working in any uncharted area is that it is uncharted. Nobody can tell you old Haitian coins are tough in AU so you have to look at a lot of coins to know. Watch out for India. This market is going to stun people for 50 years.[/QUOTE]
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