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<p>[QUOTE="Ken Dorney, post: 2780891, member: 76086"]The last 10 years? Well, the change has taken more time that that. I too took a break for about 10 years and when I came back things had changed exponentially. Many of us remember the heady days just prior to the internet, the time of seemingly endless hoards of cheap coins. </p><p><br /></p><p>Hoards were bound to run out of course as the supply has always been limited (they are still around of course, but have declined significantly). And with the advent of the internet it was bound to happen that those who were our suppliers before are now our direct competitors. Some kid (in any source country, use your imagination) may find a stray coin while kicking a bottle. Before, he would not know what it was and had no resource to find out. He may have just sold it to some antique store or dealer. But now he can pull out his phone and a world of information is literally at his fingertips. He doesnt need to spend $10,000 on basic books. He needs nothing except to sign up on Ebay and viola! He is now a 'dealer'. </p><p> </p><p>That of course is one change. A marked increase in competition. One might think that beneficial, and it is to some (but not to others). But with regards to Ebay. Ebay has changed like everything else, but overall those changes were for the benefit of the whole, not the part. Ancient coins are just a tiny part of it. In order to attract more business they allowed anyone and everyone to list, and to do it for free. The result has already been pointed out by Ed. An endless list of overpriced junk which will absolutely never sell (at least for those prices, and certainly not on Ebay).</p><p><br /></p><p>And other sales venues have changed. Ancient coin dealers have always been an older bunch, and we have lost a lot of them in a decade. In order to replace them, some venues have allowed just about anyone to join up (cant say I blame them, they have to eat too). Overall there has been an influx of inexperienced dealers who really dont quote grasp what it is they are doing. This has resulted in a lot of over-pricing, over-grading, poor shipping, the list goes on.</p><p><br /></p><p>So, on to prices. I see them as constantly changing, as, well, they do and are. Sure, the days are gone when you could buy an EF Gordian Antoninianus for $10, just as the days when you could buy movie popcorn for a dollar! Prices will always rise and fall, but ultimately rise for the obvious factors.</p><p><br /></p><p>There is increased competition for coins now, both by dealers and collectors. As I already pointed out anyone can now become a dealer, so why sell to one? Reputation, experience and knowledge means little when considering the almighty Dollar, does it not? Most of us while collectors at heart still want to see our collection sell for the highest amount we can.</p><p><br /></p><p>In this increased competitive world good material is getting 'scarce'. Its one reason why we see so many tooled coins nowadays. Add to this modern collectors who are getting into ancients and demanding slabs. If you look at Heritage nearly everything the sell is slabbed. That will be the future 25 years from now, and thankfully I wont be around to see it happen!</p><p><br /></p><p>Anyway, I digress. What was the original question? I honestly have forgotten![/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Ken Dorney, post: 2780891, member: 76086"]The last 10 years? Well, the change has taken more time that that. I too took a break for about 10 years and when I came back things had changed exponentially. Many of us remember the heady days just prior to the internet, the time of seemingly endless hoards of cheap coins. Hoards were bound to run out of course as the supply has always been limited (they are still around of course, but have declined significantly). And with the advent of the internet it was bound to happen that those who were our suppliers before are now our direct competitors. Some kid (in any source country, use your imagination) may find a stray coin while kicking a bottle. Before, he would not know what it was and had no resource to find out. He may have just sold it to some antique store or dealer. But now he can pull out his phone and a world of information is literally at his fingertips. He doesnt need to spend $10,000 on basic books. He needs nothing except to sign up on Ebay and viola! He is now a 'dealer'. That of course is one change. A marked increase in competition. One might think that beneficial, and it is to some (but not to others). But with regards to Ebay. Ebay has changed like everything else, but overall those changes were for the benefit of the whole, not the part. Ancient coins are just a tiny part of it. In order to attract more business they allowed anyone and everyone to list, and to do it for free. The result has already been pointed out by Ed. An endless list of overpriced junk which will absolutely never sell (at least for those prices, and certainly not on Ebay). And other sales venues have changed. Ancient coin dealers have always been an older bunch, and we have lost a lot of them in a decade. In order to replace them, some venues have allowed just about anyone to join up (cant say I blame them, they have to eat too). Overall there has been an influx of inexperienced dealers who really dont quote grasp what it is they are doing. This has resulted in a lot of over-pricing, over-grading, poor shipping, the list goes on. So, on to prices. I see them as constantly changing, as, well, they do and are. Sure, the days are gone when you could buy an EF Gordian Antoninianus for $10, just as the days when you could buy movie popcorn for a dollar! Prices will always rise and fall, but ultimately rise for the obvious factors. There is increased competition for coins now, both by dealers and collectors. As I already pointed out anyone can now become a dealer, so why sell to one? Reputation, experience and knowledge means little when considering the almighty Dollar, does it not? Most of us while collectors at heart still want to see our collection sell for the highest amount we can. In this increased competitive world good material is getting 'scarce'. Its one reason why we see so many tooled coins nowadays. Add to this modern collectors who are getting into ancients and demanding slabs. If you look at Heritage nearly everything the sell is slabbed. That will be the future 25 years from now, and thankfully I wont be around to see it happen! Anyway, I digress. What was the original question? I honestly have forgotten![/QUOTE]
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