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<p>[QUOTE="GDJMSP, post: 683816, member: 112"]OK, then I'll ask this - do you believe that gradeflation exist and is real ?</p><p><br /></p><p>Mark the point I am getting at, and I think you know it, is that I believe that the TPG's do not grade to same standards that they used to grade to. In other words, a few years ago, lets say in 2002, they (and I mean both PCGS and NGC) would have graded a given coin as MS64. But in 2007-08 that very same coin was then up-graded to MS65, maybe even MS66 in some cases.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now this is especially true, and often most easily seen, with the toned coins. Back in 2002 you couldn't hardly give toned coins away. Blast white was all the rage. Sure there was a small group that liked them and would buy them, there always was. But the toned coins back then were graded more on the actual condition of the coin - 64's were graded as 64's. Whereas in today's world those very same coins are pretty much all graded as 65's and 66's.</p><p><br /></p><p>Why ? Because the prices went up. Those same coins that used to sell for $200 now cost $600, $800, $900 and more. And as the prices rose so did the grades.</p><p><br /></p><p>You were there Mark, you have seen the very same things that I have seen. And it isn't only with the toned coins that this happened either. As the bull market progressed and prices increased 300% over what they were in 2002, the grades all went up right along with the prices. I didn't imagine it - it happened.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now, in our discussions in recent months we have rehashed the same point several times. That being about when the TPG's tightened up. You consistently say it was 3 years or longer ago. I say it has been more recently, starting last year and increasing this year.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now there is a certain logic to my thoughts as well. For all through the 90's the coin market was stagnant, it didn't go up and it didn't go down. At least not much. Then in 2001 it began to creep upwards. By 2003 it was taking off and by 2004 it was a rocket. Then it settled down, even dropped a bit and took off again in 2005. It was not until later in 2008 and 2009 that things began to turn downwards.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now, it is my contention that the TPG's followed right along with the price increases. And as the prices creeped upwards so did the grades being assigned to the coins. But now that the market has taken a downturn, those grading standards are tightening up again. The TPG's are getting tougher. Yeah, CAC coming onto the scene, coincidentally at the same time, has probably played a part in that tightening as well. But not as much as the prices dropping has.</p><p><br /></p><p>Now are you gonna say that it is just coincidence that grades loosened and then tightened, right in step with the market ? Or are you gonna say that grades never changed at all ? Or - are you going to agree with me ?</p><p><br /></p><p>That's the question I'm trying to get you to answer.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>On that we agree.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="GDJMSP, post: 683816, member: 112"]OK, then I'll ask this - do you believe that gradeflation exist and is real ? Mark the point I am getting at, and I think you know it, is that I believe that the TPG's do not grade to same standards that they used to grade to. In other words, a few years ago, lets say in 2002, they (and I mean both PCGS and NGC) would have graded a given coin as MS64. But in 2007-08 that very same coin was then up-graded to MS65, maybe even MS66 in some cases. Now this is especially true, and often most easily seen, with the toned coins. Back in 2002 you couldn't hardly give toned coins away. Blast white was all the rage. Sure there was a small group that liked them and would buy them, there always was. But the toned coins back then were graded more on the actual condition of the coin - 64's were graded as 64's. Whereas in today's world those very same coins are pretty much all graded as 65's and 66's. Why ? Because the prices went up. Those same coins that used to sell for $200 now cost $600, $800, $900 and more. And as the prices rose so did the grades. You were there Mark, you have seen the very same things that I have seen. And it isn't only with the toned coins that this happened either. As the bull market progressed and prices increased 300% over what they were in 2002, the grades all went up right along with the prices. I didn't imagine it - it happened. Now, in our discussions in recent months we have rehashed the same point several times. That being about when the TPG's tightened up. You consistently say it was 3 years or longer ago. I say it has been more recently, starting last year and increasing this year. Now there is a certain logic to my thoughts as well. For all through the 90's the coin market was stagnant, it didn't go up and it didn't go down. At least not much. Then in 2001 it began to creep upwards. By 2003 it was taking off and by 2004 it was a rocket. Then it settled down, even dropped a bit and took off again in 2005. It was not until later in 2008 and 2009 that things began to turn downwards. Now, it is my contention that the TPG's followed right along with the price increases. And as the prices creeped upwards so did the grades being assigned to the coins. But now that the market has taken a downturn, those grading standards are tightening up again. The TPG's are getting tougher. Yeah, CAC coming onto the scene, coincidentally at the same time, has probably played a part in that tightening as well. But not as much as the prices dropping has. Now are you gonna say that it is just coincidence that grades loosened and then tightened, right in step with the market ? Or are you gonna say that grades never changed at all ? Or - are you going to agree with me ? That's the question I'm trying to get you to answer. On that we agree.[/QUOTE]
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