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<p>[QUOTE="Sulla80, post: 6518734, member: 99456"]There is something about coin 4 that does make one question every thought that came before before coin 4...</p><p><br /></p><p>A few CT members had asked about the architecture of my predictive bot, and given the many helpful suggestions, I will share this useful diagram.</p><p>[ATTACH=full]1260755[/ATTACH]</p><p><br /></p><p>The estimated probabilities of ownership for Coin #4 are:</p><ul> <li>39.1% probability [USER=83845]@Curtisimo[/USER] <br /> </li> <li>38.4% probability [USER=77077]@Theodosius[/USER]</li> <li>32.5% probability [USER=4298]@Cucumbor[/USER]</li> </ul><p>The added Quality loop (in blue above) seems to have fixed the recurring problem with selecting ineligible members. Given [USER=83845]@Curtisimo[/USER] is still one of the esteemed members to whom I have not assigned a coin, I will stay the course and select him as the owner of coin 4. I seem to have misplaced all my 50 Litrae coins of Syracuse, so instead I will post this coin from Sicily 100 years later.</p><p>[ATTACH=full]1260754[/ATTACH]</p><p><b>Anonymous</b>, circa 211-208 BC. AR Victoriatus</p><p><b>Mint:</b> uncertain mint in Sicily</p><p><b>Obv:</b> Laureate head of Jupiter to right.</p><p><b>Rev:</b> ROMA Victory standing front, head to right, placing wreath on trophy.</p><p><b>Size:</b> 16 mm, 2.46 g</p><p><b>Ref:</b> Crawford <a href="http://numismatics.org/crro/id/rrc-67.1" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://numismatics.org/crro/id/rrc-67.1" rel="nofollow">67/1</a>. RBW 297-299. Sydenham 83[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Sulla80, post: 6518734, member: 99456"]There is something about coin 4 that does make one question every thought that came before before coin 4... A few CT members had asked about the architecture of my predictive bot, and given the many helpful suggestions, I will share this useful diagram. [ATTACH=full]1260755[/ATTACH] The estimated probabilities of ownership for Coin #4 are: [LIST] [*]39.1% probability [USER=83845]@Curtisimo[/USER] [*]38.4% probability [USER=77077]@Theodosius[/USER] [*]32.5% probability [USER=4298]@Cucumbor[/USER] [/LIST] The added Quality loop (in blue above) seems to have fixed the recurring problem with selecting ineligible members. Given [USER=83845]@Curtisimo[/USER] is still one of the esteemed members to whom I have not assigned a coin, I will stay the course and select him as the owner of coin 4. I seem to have misplaced all my 50 Litrae coins of Syracuse, so instead I will post this coin from Sicily 100 years later. [ATTACH=full]1260754[/ATTACH] [B]Anonymous[/B], circa 211-208 BC. AR Victoriatus [B]Mint:[/B] uncertain mint in Sicily [B]Obv:[/B] Laureate head of Jupiter to right. [B]Rev:[/B] ROMA Victory standing front, head to right, placing wreath on trophy. [B]Size:[/B] 16 mm, 2.46 g [B]Ref:[/B] Crawford [URL='http://numismatics.org/crro/id/rrc-67.1']67/1[/URL]. RBW 297-299. Sydenham 83[/QUOTE]
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