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<p>[QUOTE="mrbrklyn, post: 443695, member: 4381"]I'm not saying that the graders are purposefully defrauding the public. I'm saying that the results are NOT reproducible. Your a scientist. You understand this concept. You know, like Fleischmann and Pons. The results can't be, what in the Pharmaceutic business is called Validated. And you can't do quality assurance until you can Validate a process.</p><p><br /></p><p>What I'm saying is that they readily admit that they can't reproduce their grades with precision at all grade levels for a significant portion of coins, and more so with the 69 and 70's where they have virtually no shot since the grading definitions for a 70 are nearly undefined. They'll TELL you if you speak to them, "We could have graded that one a 70 or this one a 69 but at the time we felt otherwise". And your WRONG. If you submitted your Jefferson 10,000 times, it will come back MS 70 probably a dozen times. But even more to the point, people resubmit their coins and argue with them all the time, and Low and Behold, they often can change their mind.</p><p><br /></p><p>What they've defined as the difference between 69 and 70 is so minuscule that it can't be humanly accessed. In fact, the grade of 70 was designed to never be reached. It was a theoretically perfect coin.</p><p><br /></p><p>And I'm also saying this, any flaw in a coin that can not be seen with a naked eye is considered NOT GRADEABLE CRITERIA.</p><p><br /></p><p>Lastly, in the 1 in billion (or 100 billion shot) shot that a coin might be actually perfect when compared to the theoretical, that difference is so minuscule to high end 69's that valuing a 20 dollar coin to $5000 is completely bubble economics. And if you sneeze on that coin --- opps, 5k down the tube. Or if the coin tones, tarnishes, gets a sliding scratch etc etc. Kiss it all good-bye. And people actually send these 70 graded pieces THROUGH THE MAIL. Have you ever seen what UPS, Fedex and the Postal Service does to its packages.</p><p><br /></p><p>Yeah - I believe in 70 grades like I believe in the tooth fairy. And most of the graders, while they hate to admit it, when pressed on the actually facts, they agree.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>What I'm saying is if I crack open 500 70 cases, not even 10% are likely to come back again as 70, and granted, that is a significant percentage over the bulk of coins.</p><p><br /></p><p>But most importantly, I'm saying that I don't believe that the differential in a grading services opinion, between a 69 and 70 is worth 50 TIMES the price of a 69, not only for all the reasons I stated:</p><p><br /></p><p>A) They can't repeat their results</p><p>B) The standard was designed to be never reached</p><p>C) The coins travel and live in real time</p><p>D) That the graders admit that they are dancing on the head of a pin with a 70 grade</p><p>E) A 70 if it exists has an very short half-life</p><p>F) The inability of repeating results means the results are INVALID</p><p><br /></p><p>but also it's tossing a lot of money on a bad supposition and your better off playing roulette at Atlantic City because then you at least KNOW the odds are against you.</p><p><br /></p><p>And frankly they are better odds.</p><p><br /></p><p>Ruben[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="mrbrklyn, post: 443695, member: 4381"]I'm not saying that the graders are purposefully defrauding the public. I'm saying that the results are NOT reproducible. Your a scientist. You understand this concept. You know, like Fleischmann and Pons. The results can't be, what in the Pharmaceutic business is called Validated. And you can't do quality assurance until you can Validate a process. What I'm saying is that they readily admit that they can't reproduce their grades with precision at all grade levels for a significant portion of coins, and more so with the 69 and 70's where they have virtually no shot since the grading definitions for a 70 are nearly undefined. They'll TELL you if you speak to them, "We could have graded that one a 70 or this one a 69 but at the time we felt otherwise". And your WRONG. If you submitted your Jefferson 10,000 times, it will come back MS 70 probably a dozen times. But even more to the point, people resubmit their coins and argue with them all the time, and Low and Behold, they often can change their mind. What they've defined as the difference between 69 and 70 is so minuscule that it can't be humanly accessed. In fact, the grade of 70 was designed to never be reached. It was a theoretically perfect coin. And I'm also saying this, any flaw in a coin that can not be seen with a naked eye is considered NOT GRADEABLE CRITERIA. Lastly, in the 1 in billion (or 100 billion shot) shot that a coin might be actually perfect when compared to the theoretical, that difference is so minuscule to high end 69's that valuing a 20 dollar coin to $5000 is completely bubble economics. And if you sneeze on that coin --- opps, 5k down the tube. Or if the coin tones, tarnishes, gets a sliding scratch etc etc. Kiss it all good-bye. And people actually send these 70 graded pieces THROUGH THE MAIL. Have you ever seen what UPS, Fedex and the Postal Service does to its packages. Yeah - I believe in 70 grades like I believe in the tooth fairy. And most of the graders, while they hate to admit it, when pressed on the actually facts, they agree. What I'm saying is if I crack open 500 70 cases, not even 10% are likely to come back again as 70, and granted, that is a significant percentage over the bulk of coins. But most importantly, I'm saying that I don't believe that the differential in a grading services opinion, between a 69 and 70 is worth 50 TIMES the price of a 69, not only for all the reasons I stated: A) They can't repeat their results B) The standard was designed to be never reached C) The coins travel and live in real time D) That the graders admit that they are dancing on the head of a pin with a 70 grade E) A 70 if it exists has an very short half-life F) The inability of repeating results means the results are INVALID but also it's tossing a lot of money on a bad supposition and your better off playing roulette at Atlantic City because then you at least KNOW the odds are against you. And frankly they are better odds. Ruben[/QUOTE]
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