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<p>[QUOTE="cladking, post: 838465, member: 68"]Ultimately everything is a fad. </p><p><br /></p><p>You really need to take a closer look at those coins you consider will always be "good coins" or "good investment" or "solid value". They're great coins and I love them as much as you do but you're missing the big picture here. These coins are mostly owned by people born between 1946 and 1964. These are older people now. Time stopped in 1965 only for coin collectors. The rest of the world just kept right on racking up new dates each year. Now these older people who own these coins are going to start selling. Do you really think the newbies who have been insulted and had their coins insulted are going to be the biggest buyers of these coins. What most don't appreciate is ultimately they'll be the only buyers. When someone gives up collecting because he's told his collection is junk you've lost a future buyer forever. When someone turns to eBay because dealers won't make fair offers you've lost an audience. </p><p><br /></p><p>People talk about "real coins" made before 1965 but there are lots of "real collectors" who don't collect them. There are lots of "real collectors" who have been driven out of the hobby by those who think they are fools. Be this as it may who are the people who retired this year going to sell their collections to? The simple fact is there are going to be huge numbers of all these old coins coming into the market over the next fifteen years. Most will be snapped up by old collectors who'll have them right back on the market in a few years. </p><p><br /></p><p>Where you should be cultivating young collectors and encouraging them you're telling them that 97% of moderns are common. Well guess what; 97% of old coins are common too. This is just the way things work. To the degree that older collectors want to exclude beginners and those who collect moderns they are setting themselves up for a potentially rude awakening. Demand for moderns isn't nearly so dependent on these considerations and supply just keeps drying up because modern collectors tend to be young and have growing collections. </p><p><br /></p><p>These are facts though most won't see them soon. </p><p><br /></p><p>Time really does fly so it won't feelk like it's been very long.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="cladking, post: 838465, member: 68"]Ultimately everything is a fad. You really need to take a closer look at those coins you consider will always be "good coins" or "good investment" or "solid value". They're great coins and I love them as much as you do but you're missing the big picture here. These coins are mostly owned by people born between 1946 and 1964. These are older people now. Time stopped in 1965 only for coin collectors. The rest of the world just kept right on racking up new dates each year. Now these older people who own these coins are going to start selling. Do you really think the newbies who have been insulted and had their coins insulted are going to be the biggest buyers of these coins. What most don't appreciate is ultimately they'll be the only buyers. When someone gives up collecting because he's told his collection is junk you've lost a future buyer forever. When someone turns to eBay because dealers won't make fair offers you've lost an audience. People talk about "real coins" made before 1965 but there are lots of "real collectors" who don't collect them. There are lots of "real collectors" who have been driven out of the hobby by those who think they are fools. Be this as it may who are the people who retired this year going to sell their collections to? The simple fact is there are going to be huge numbers of all these old coins coming into the market over the next fifteen years. Most will be snapped up by old collectors who'll have them right back on the market in a few years. Where you should be cultivating young collectors and encouraging them you're telling them that 97% of moderns are common. Well guess what; 97% of old coins are common too. This is just the way things work. To the degree that older collectors want to exclude beginners and those who collect moderns they are setting themselves up for a potentially rude awakening. Demand for moderns isn't nearly so dependent on these considerations and supply just keeps drying up because modern collectors tend to be young and have growing collections. These are facts though most won't see them soon. Time really does fly so it won't feelk like it's been very long.[/QUOTE]
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