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<p>[QUOTE="cladking, post: 838414, member: 68"]I've been warning about this for decades but most people don't take this very real threat to our hobby very seriously and a few even work to exacerbate the problems. In a nutshell the problem is that the hobby did a very poor job of attracting new collectors between 1965 and 1999 because most people get their start for circulating coinage and there was a perception that circulating coinage was dull and uninteresting during this long period. We simply lost a generation and a half of new collectors. </p><p><br /></p><p>Now we're swimming in newbies and willbies but we're about to start shedding experienced and knowledgeable collectors in huge numbers. Historically most collectors sell off their collections when they retire and the oldest baby boomers have just started retiring. They're 64 years old now. Each year a large percentage of existing collectors are going to retire since a very large percentage of all collectors were born between 1946 and 1964. </p><p><br /></p><p>We do have one thing working in our favor and that is that people are living longer now and in better health at retirement. This will probably translate into more collectors staying active in the hobby after retiremnent even if they aren't spending as much on coins. This will mean that at least the supply won't increase as rapidly and the interest and excitement of coin collecting can remain high. </p><p><br /></p><p>Investing in collectibles is always risky because tastes change. It's can be especially risky to invest in anything where demographics or progress might work against you. Dot coms were on the right side of history and look what happened there. </p><p><br /></p><p>Coin collecting will stay around for a long time and will likely be even more vibrant in twenty years than it is today. The question is what will things be like in between.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="cladking, post: 838414, member: 68"]I've been warning about this for decades but most people don't take this very real threat to our hobby very seriously and a few even work to exacerbate the problems. In a nutshell the problem is that the hobby did a very poor job of attracting new collectors between 1965 and 1999 because most people get their start for circulating coinage and there was a perception that circulating coinage was dull and uninteresting during this long period. We simply lost a generation and a half of new collectors. Now we're swimming in newbies and willbies but we're about to start shedding experienced and knowledgeable collectors in huge numbers. Historically most collectors sell off their collections when they retire and the oldest baby boomers have just started retiring. They're 64 years old now. Each year a large percentage of existing collectors are going to retire since a very large percentage of all collectors were born between 1946 and 1964. We do have one thing working in our favor and that is that people are living longer now and in better health at retirement. This will probably translate into more collectors staying active in the hobby after retiremnent even if they aren't spending as much on coins. This will mean that at least the supply won't increase as rapidly and the interest and excitement of coin collecting can remain high. Investing in collectibles is always risky because tastes change. It's can be especially risky to invest in anything where demographics or progress might work against you. Dot coms were on the right side of history and look what happened there. Coin collecting will stay around for a long time and will likely be even more vibrant in twenty years than it is today. The question is what will things be like in between.[/QUOTE]
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