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Anyone think a boom is just around the corner (coin and metal prices)..
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<p>[QUOTE="Ken_3567, post: 209718, member: 8237"]IMHO coin collecting and bullion are completely separate markets that each have different drivers for increased value returns but occasionally the two can influence one another. </p><p><br /></p><p>In regards to Morgans, this area of coin collecting has always had its growth factor primarily connected to collector interests and though spot silver may influence some prices I don't think it will out strip collector demand/increases.</p><p><br /></p><p>Where I see the bullion market impacting the coin market is in common low grade silver coinage from the 30s to 60s. If silver gets to say $16 an ounce what would this mean to AG, G, VG, or even fine coins that have always been available to new or low budget collectors? </p><p><br /></p><p>My pessimistic view is that new collectors with small budgets trying to fill albums or type sets will be finding themselves looking at small $$ spreads between grades. This may move low grade collector habits towards VF/XF coins for pre-40, XF/AU for pre-50, & AU/BU coins for pre-64. Meanwhile, the AG to F coins are probably headed to that old silver mine in the sky.</p><p><br /></p><p>For example;</p><p>I know common date merc dimes from the 40s can still be had for $3 to $4 in BU and if an AG or G grade is going for more than a $1 then justification to move up to an XF or AU is highly likely.</p><p><br /></p><p>The question then becomes one of supply and demand. This may put pressure on the remaining supplies of </p><p>common date coins in XF to BU grades. </p><p>If there is a large collector base already existing at the lower grade end of the hobby then this will influence demand which will drive up prices and return a balance to the price spread between G to XF. </p><p>If there are not enough collectors at the low end to influence higher graded coins then the smelting factor will come into play to help balance the price spread between G to XF.</p><p><br /></p><p>Sorry about the long rant but wanted to add me two cents <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie1" alt=":)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" />[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Ken_3567, post: 209718, member: 8237"]IMHO coin collecting and bullion are completely separate markets that each have different drivers for increased value returns but occasionally the two can influence one another. In regards to Morgans, this area of coin collecting has always had its growth factor primarily connected to collector interests and though spot silver may influence some prices I don't think it will out strip collector demand/increases. Where I see the bullion market impacting the coin market is in common low grade silver coinage from the 30s to 60s. If silver gets to say $16 an ounce what would this mean to AG, G, VG, or even fine coins that have always been available to new or low budget collectors? My pessimistic view is that new collectors with small budgets trying to fill albums or type sets will be finding themselves looking at small $$ spreads between grades. This may move low grade collector habits towards VF/XF coins for pre-40, XF/AU for pre-50, & AU/BU coins for pre-64. Meanwhile, the AG to F coins are probably headed to that old silver mine in the sky. For example; I know common date merc dimes from the 40s can still be had for $3 to $4 in BU and if an AG or G grade is going for more than a $1 then justification to move up to an XF or AU is highly likely. The question then becomes one of supply and demand. This may put pressure on the remaining supplies of common date coins in XF to BU grades. If there is a large collector base already existing at the lower grade end of the hobby then this will influence demand which will drive up prices and return a balance to the price spread between G to XF. If there are not enough collectors at the low end to influence higher graded coins then the smelting factor will come into play to help balance the price spread between G to XF. Sorry about the long rant but wanted to add me two cents :)[/QUOTE]
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Anyone think a boom is just around the corner (coin and metal prices)..
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