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<p>[QUOTE="Paul M., post: 2610111, member: 73165"]While I'm not terribly surprised that the coin came from a high volume bullion dealer, I seriously doubt they could "special order" something like this. I don't know offhand, but it might violate some kind of law for the Mint to make one of these officially.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Totally agree. This situation practically cries out for an application of Hanlon's Razor. Occam's Razor also applies, since the simplest explanation is that it happened by accident.</p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p><br /></p><p>Wrong... rationally deducing that it was intentionally made, or some kind of error was made (possibly due to unusual circumstances at the Mint). </p><p><br /></p><p>From a pure Bayesian point of view, taking into account the total mintage of Buffalo $1 coins and the fact that only one of these things has surfaced, this is almost surely at most a probability 1 in 100,000 event. I could believe such a thing could happen once and just happened to be detected. If a second one surfaces, I would be much more suspect.</p><p><br /></p><p>Let's put it this way: I have much more confidence this was a true error than the 1959-D wheat cent was. <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie2" alt=";)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" />[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="Paul M., post: 2610111, member: 73165"]While I'm not terribly surprised that the coin came from a high volume bullion dealer, I seriously doubt they could "special order" something like this. I don't know offhand, but it might violate some kind of law for the Mint to make one of these officially. Totally agree. This situation practically cries out for an application of Hanlon's Razor. Occam's Razor also applies, since the simplest explanation is that it happened by accident. Wrong... rationally deducing that it was intentionally made, or some kind of error was made (possibly due to unusual circumstances at the Mint). From a pure Bayesian point of view, taking into account the total mintage of Buffalo $1 coins and the fact that only one of these things has surfaced, this is almost surely at most a probability 1 in 100,000 event. I could believe such a thing could happen once and just happened to be detected. If a second one surfaces, I would be much more suspect. Let's put it this way: I have much more confidence this was a true error than the 1959-D wheat cent was. ;)[/QUOTE]
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