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Message:: [QUOTE="Curtisimo, post: 3154626, member: 83845"]Tournament UpdateRound 1 has officially come to a close.  I want to give a big thank you to all of the players.  I will be sending out PMs with details for Round 2 over the next few days. Below are the results from Round 1.  For the benefit of those players considering their Round 2 strategy (and for anyone else who is simply curious <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie2" alt=";)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" />) I have compiled a list of statistics for the matches in Round 1. The following players will be advancing to the next round. [USER=57495]@zumbly[/USER] [USER=19463]@dougsmit[/USER] [USER=96635]@Pavlos[/USER] [USER=44132]@Bing[/USER] [USER=75563]@ancientcoinguru[/USER] [USER=17567]@frankjg[/USER] [USER=74968]@Orfew[/USER] [USER=86498]@Terence Cheesman[/USER] [USER=78244]@TypeCoin971793[/USER] [USER=88526]@Jay GT4[/USER] [USER=4298]@Cucumbor[/USER] [USER=95174]@BenSi[/USER] [USER=87080]@TheRed[/USER] [USER=37707]@iamtiberius[/USER] [USER=77704]@panzerman[/USER] [USER=84744]@Severus Alexander[/USER] Round 1 Results [ATTACH=full]808845[/ATTACH] Statistical Breakdown of Round 1 MatchesTypes of Coins Played in Round 1 Metal Type A breakdown of the metal types and the number of coins of that metal played in the first round is shown in Figure 1.  See below for breakdown Silver – 19Bronze – 12Gold – 1 We had 9 matches where coins of two different metals faced off:  8 with silver vs bronze and 1 with silver vs gold.  See below summary and Figure 1 for a detailed breakdown. Silver – won 4 of 8 matches against bronze, tied 1.  Lost 1 match to gold. Bronze – won 3 of 8 matches against silver, tied 1. Gold – won 1 of 1 matches against silver. [ATTACH=full]808428[/ATTACH]Figure 1 - Coins by Metal Type Culture (i.e. Roman, Greek etc.) For the purpose of these statistics I have considered Roman to include the following sub-categories; imperial, provincial, and imperatorial and republican. Of 16 total matches 9 featured coins of different cultures that went head-to-head. The breakdown of these 9 matches is shown in Figure 2.  A breakdown by win percentage is as follows (excluding ties). Roman: 43% Greek: 80% Chinese: 0% Medieval: 100% Phoenician: 0% [ATTACH=full]808429[/ATTACH]Figure 2 - Breakdown of Round 1 by Culture Breakdown by Category Number of Categories Won It is interesting to note that 1 category was enough to win a match as often as 2.  Obviously winning all 3 categories would ensure a victory but that occurred in only 18.75% of matches (3 matches).  There was also 1 match that resulted in a tie. Note: The average margin of victory in all matches = 31.81 votes Of the matches where a winner won only 1 category;<ul> <li>3 matches featured a tie in one of the three categories (i.e. both winner and loser won only 1 category)</li> <li>Of the matches where a coin winning 1 category defeated a coin winning 2 categories the average margin of victory was 17.3 votes</li> </ul>Of the matches where a winner won 2 categories;<ul> <li>average margin of victory = 28.33 votes</li> </ul>Of the matches where a winner won 3 categories;<ul> <li>average margin of victory = 74 votes</li> </ul>[ATTACH=full]808430[/ATTACH]Figure 3 - Statistics of Wins Based on Number of Categories Won Eye Appeal Average Margin of Victory = 26.69 Votes Participants who won the Eye Appeal category won their match 56.25% of the time. Historical or Numismatic Interest Average Margin of Victory = 28.63 Votes Participants who won the Interest category won their match 62.5% of the time. Greatest Bargain Average Margin of Victory = 19.38 Votes Participants who won the Bargain category won their match 50% of the time.The less expensive coin won the bargain category 87.5% of the time.The more expensive coin won the overall match exactly 50% of the time. Voter Participation Max. number of votes = 212Min. number of votes = 155Avg. number of votes = 178 It was noted that voter participation was not uniform across all matches.  I looked at the data that I had for each match and plotted it in such a way that it can be further analysed.  I looked at 3 potential causes for the variance in voter turnout and came up with the following.<ol> <li>The number of votes tended to decrease for the matches posted later in the round.</li> <li>The margin of victory (i.e. close match up) seems to have had an effect but not uniformly across all matches.  Smaller margin of victory sometimes corresponded to higher vote counts (such as [Poll-3] and [Poll-12]) and sometimes there seems to have been little to no effect ([Poll-14]).</li> <li>The number of comments posted to a thread trended very closely to the number of overall votes with spikes where there are relatively more comments and a close match up (see Figure 1)</li> </ol> [ATTACH=full]808431[/ATTACH]Figure 4 - Number of votes plotted against margin of victory and number of comments to the thread. [ATTACH=full]808432[/ATTACH]Figure 5 - Number of total votes plotted against margin of victory. [ATTACH=full]808433[/ATTACH]Figure 6 - Number of votes plotted against total number of comments to the thread. There seems to be a general decrease in the number of votes per match.  That may be readily explained by voters missing matches as all 16 came available. In all it seems that the threads that generate more discussion and comments are more likely to get more votes (and are just fun threads in general).  In short... please feel free to comment, discuss or "bump" the matches as much as you like.  It seems to lead to higher turnout and lots of fun <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie1" alt=":)" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /> A Few Random Statistics<ol> <li>According to my calculations up to 4 people have chosen not to cast a vote in the "Greatest bargain" category in the poles.  That means that there is a very slight advantage to targeting the other two categories.</li> <li>The highest number of votes for a winning coin = 130 votes</li> <li>The lowest number of votes for a winning coin = 81 votes</li> <li>The highest number of votes for a losing coin = 95 votes</li> <li>The lowest number of votes for a losing coin = 47 votes</li> <li>11% of people are left handed</li> <li>Brazil makes up 47.3% of South America's land area</li> <li>Ice expands by approx. 9% when it freezes</li> <li>95% of people who dislike Monty Python have a father that smelt of elderberries</li> <li>60% of people secretly like the song Ice Ice Baby</li> <li>Exactly 100% of the people who have played and voted in this game are awesome! <img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie6" alt=":cool:" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /><img src="styles/default/xenforo/clear.png" class="mceSmilieSprite mceSmilie8" alt=":D" unselectable="on" unselectable="on" /></li> </ol>[/QUOTE]

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