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<p>[QUOTE="dougsmit, post: 1950229, member: 19463"]I'm not sure what I think about a 'fair return' when comparing such auction results. We have to allow for such matters as buyers' premiums and postage. In many cases at such levels a buyer will have employed an auction agent who will have charged at least 5% (depending on whether he was going to that sale anyway or was making the trip for that one bid). It is not always easy to figure exactly how much a buyer has in a coin when the prices realized says $16,000.</p><p><br /></p><p>I just posted this to another thread but it fits better here:</p><p><a href="http://www.acsearch.info/search.html?id=2012929" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.acsearch.info/search.html?id=2012929" rel="nofollow">http://www.acsearch.info/search.html?id=2012929</a></p><p>The sale was 3 June 2014 for $35,000 on an estimate of $20,000. The listing includes, "Ex S. C. Markoff Collection (NAC 62, 6 October 2011), 2002." Looking up that sale we find this:</p><p><a href="http://www.acsearch.info/search.html?id=1103076" target="_blank" class="externalLink ProxyLink" data-proxy-href="http://www.acsearch.info/search.html?id=1103076" rel="nofollow">http://www.acsearch.info/search.html?id=1103076</a></p><p>The realization was 32,000CHF on estimate of 15,000CHF. The 32kCHF is converted by acsearch to $34,726 or $274 less than it brought three years later. I do not know details on the add-on costs from the first sale (buyers, postage, agent --- whatever) but assuming all those costs to be zero allows a return of what banks now pay on checking accounts; anything over zero would be a loss. </p><p><br /></p><p>I find it interesting that the second sale was estimated at roughly the same as the first and the two sales each returned about the same amount a bit over double estimate. The first description mentioned the area of weak strike in the hair (duh!) while the second overlooked it. It is a nice coin. Whether a coin with flat hair is EF is a matter decided by those who will pay $35,000 for a coin. I hope I get to see this coin sell again. It seems that three years was not enough to see it rise enough to show profit but who is to say what it would bring next year or in 2024? I am not a businessman so I do not understand most of the forces at work here. I do recall a name brand dealer a few years back (the one who gave up coins and started selling guns) who stated he had made a small fortune in coins but added that he did it by starting with a large fortune. Prices on things like coins only have to make sense if we assume that the money spent on them means anything to the traders. I live on pensions and buy coins worth a few dollars. The hobby is full of people who waste thousands like I do singles.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="dougsmit, post: 1950229, member: 19463"]I'm not sure what I think about a 'fair return' when comparing such auction results. We have to allow for such matters as buyers' premiums and postage. In many cases at such levels a buyer will have employed an auction agent who will have charged at least 5% (depending on whether he was going to that sale anyway or was making the trip for that one bid). It is not always easy to figure exactly how much a buyer has in a coin when the prices realized says $16,000. I just posted this to another thread but it fits better here: [url]http://www.acsearch.info/search.html?id=2012929[/url] The sale was 3 June 2014 for $35,000 on an estimate of $20,000. The listing includes, "Ex S. C. Markoff Collection (NAC 62, 6 October 2011), 2002." Looking up that sale we find this: [url]http://www.acsearch.info/search.html?id=1103076[/url] The realization was 32,000CHF on estimate of 15,000CHF. The 32kCHF is converted by acsearch to $34,726 or $274 less than it brought three years later. I do not know details on the add-on costs from the first sale (buyers, postage, agent --- whatever) but assuming all those costs to be zero allows a return of what banks now pay on checking accounts; anything over zero would be a loss. I find it interesting that the second sale was estimated at roughly the same as the first and the two sales each returned about the same amount a bit over double estimate. The first description mentioned the area of weak strike in the hair (duh!) while the second overlooked it. It is a nice coin. Whether a coin with flat hair is EF is a matter decided by those who will pay $35,000 for a coin. I hope I get to see this coin sell again. It seems that three years was not enough to see it rise enough to show profit but who is to say what it would bring next year or in 2024? I am not a businessman so I do not understand most of the forces at work here. I do recall a name brand dealer a few years back (the one who gave up coins and started selling guns) who stated he had made a small fortune in coins but added that he did it by starting with a large fortune. Prices on things like coins only have to make sense if we assume that the money spent on them means anything to the traders. I live on pensions and buy coins worth a few dollars. The hobby is full of people who waste thousands like I do singles.[/QUOTE]
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