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<p>[QUOTE="cladking, post: 2478145, member: 68"]Of course there's a natural state for everything. The natural state of a pendulum is at its lowest point because it's the average no matter how far it's swinging or not swinging. The natural state for coin collecting is the vector sum total of all the beliefs and premises of coin collectors. Naturally some will collect moderns and more will collect older coins. All investors don't buy IBM stock and all collectors don't collect antique cars or modern coins. But in 1995 virtually all coin collectors collected old US coins. This is not natural and the pendulum is still in transition. One year peaches are delicious and the next year you should stick to cherries. The better fruit is always cheaper too. If you just do different than everyone else you'll buy low/ sell high and do your cherry picking when prices are most favorable. You'll buy IBM when the blood is in the streets and sell when your cabby tells you buy. </p><p> </p><p>Mebbe you've done so well on ZAR through mere coincidence. Coincidence will run it's course even as the cycles continue forever. </p><p><br /></p><p> </p><p>People are people. Of course there are culktural differences but even culture evolves and is subject tothe same cycles as everything else. Some of these cultural cycles can be longer term but just because there might be few collectors in Saudi Arabia (or anywhere) today hardly means there won't be hundreds or thousands in ten years. The culture doesn't have to change for simple human propensities to manifest in behavior. It is exactly this sort of thing that can drive cultural change because culture is more about habit than belief.</p><p> </p><p><br /></p><p> </p><p>Where do you get ideas or numbers like this? When I was a child all my friends were collectors. Why is it so imposibble there can't be far larger numbers of collectors? I'm merely suggesting that if the numbers stay static that modern demand will soar.</p><p> </p><p><br /></p><p> </p><p>Tomatoe/ tomato.</p><p> </p><p>It's still early for moderns. </p><p> </p><p><br /></p><p> </p><p>This ois your modern bashing showing. You're assuming that because the coins were made in huge numbers that they are common. You think they will come out of the woodwork with higher prices. I keep telling you we live in a disposable world and everything has been thrown away that wasn't saved. These coins have been disposed.[/QUOTE]</p><p><br /></p>
[QUOTE="cladking, post: 2478145, member: 68"]Of course there's a natural state for everything. The natural state of a pendulum is at its lowest point because it's the average no matter how far it's swinging or not swinging. The natural state for coin collecting is the vector sum total of all the beliefs and premises of coin collectors. Naturally some will collect moderns and more will collect older coins. All investors don't buy IBM stock and all collectors don't collect antique cars or modern coins. But in 1995 virtually all coin collectors collected old US coins. This is not natural and the pendulum is still in transition. One year peaches are delicious and the next year you should stick to cherries. The better fruit is always cheaper too. If you just do different than everyone else you'll buy low/ sell high and do your cherry picking when prices are most favorable. You'll buy IBM when the blood is in the streets and sell when your cabby tells you buy. Mebbe you've done so well on ZAR through mere coincidence. Coincidence will run it's course even as the cycles continue forever. People are people. Of course there are culktural differences but even culture evolves and is subject tothe same cycles as everything else. Some of these cultural cycles can be longer term but just because there might be few collectors in Saudi Arabia (or anywhere) today hardly means there won't be hundreds or thousands in ten years. The culture doesn't have to change for simple human propensities to manifest in behavior. It is exactly this sort of thing that can drive cultural change because culture is more about habit than belief. Where do you get ideas or numbers like this? When I was a child all my friends were collectors. Why is it so imposibble there can't be far larger numbers of collectors? I'm merely suggesting that if the numbers stay static that modern demand will soar. Tomatoe/ tomato. It's still early for moderns. This ois your modern bashing showing. You're assuming that because the coins were made in huge numbers that they are common. You think they will come out of the woodwork with higher prices. I keep telling you we live in a disposable world and everything has been thrown away that wasn't saved. These coins have been disposed.[/QUOTE]
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