You're at the mercy of Chinese and auto demand, plus Russian/S. African supply. It can go up to $3,000 an ounce or decline to $500/oz.
Why do people think that banks "smash the prices" down or up ? Banks don't do this. They can't. It's not profitable. The regulators would be all over them. I've worked for 2 large banks in their wealth management divisions. If I recommended all this "manipulation" that so many of you are convinced of, I'd have been (1) laughed out of the room (2) fired.
Simple answer, no one is building new cars or allot less then normal, the semi conductor market is off the chart, just non existent, they wouldn't even give me a second key...LOL