You'll never know, I'll never know, and nobody will ever know. So why bother? They taught me in trading to trade what you see not trade what you forsee. That advice proved successful
Keep in mind that the writers of the article are selling their advice, not following it. Yankee, I think you put too much faith in what you read on the internet. 99% of the folks writing these articles are journalists or mediocre investors at best. It is best to study facts, not opinions, and formulate you own investment plan.