And if the price moves AGAINST them...... ?? Again, you can't move large amounts in and out of these markets. They're not US Treasuries or MBS with liquidity. JP Morgan Chase makes about $60 billion a year. They make a couple of hundred million trading precious metals each year. Do you honestly think they are going to increase the risk and capital to PMs to have higher volatility in earnings and a LOWER STOCK PRICE because of earnings volatility leading to a lower P/E ratio ? Do you see any sell-side analyst saying "JPM needs to engage in volatile trading so they can get a lower P/E which is already at a 30% discount to the S&P 500" ???
Sometimes the overseas market reacts just the opposite of the US market. Then again, at other times, it acts the same. Just when you think you’ve got it figured out something happens and it changes. There’s a lot of events in the world that affect the precious metals.
It’s summertime… usually, Jun-Aug are lower AG and AV prices, cuz the traders are on holidays for the Summer. Personally, I buy and hold. Great time to buy, ‘specially gold (it’s a purdier metal, and doesn’t tarnish ). I am not sure that Central Banks, especially Global South CB’s, care as much about US Federal Regulations in their market decisions… And those CB’s are probly the ones buying most of the Gold as reserves, not US / Western. In fact, I understand the US has a net OUTFLOW of Gold, and we appear NOT to get enough Silver for industrial / military / tech needs. Gold seems to drive Silver, (or Silver follows Gold's lead), so I watch how much the CB’s are amassing tonnage. They appear to be up… prices will reflect more this Fall.