About the gold price falling down 50% ?

Discussion in 'Bullion Investing' started by Herberto, Oct 5, 2025 at 3:57 PM.

  1. Herberto

    Herberto Well-Known Member

    In 1980 to 1982 the price of gold went down from $650 to $315.

    In 1996 to 1999 the price went down from $400 to $250.

    In 2011 to 2015 the price went down from $1800 to $1050.

    The history is showing that gold price can indeed fall down between 40-50% or so.

    Today the price of gold is at $3900.

    Do you think the price can fall down 40-50%? Down to… let say… $2000?
     
    GoldFinger1969 likes this.
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  3. Randy Abercrombie

    Randy Abercrombie Supporter! Supporter

    I certainly believe it could. Not likely with all the uncertainty out there.... But I wouldn't be surprised.
     
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  4. JoshuaP

    JoshuaP Supporter! Supporter

    History often repeats itself. I would not be surprised if gold dropped, but at the same time, the demand for gold in various products is also higher than ever before. I look forward to other comments.
     
    GoldFinger1969 likes this.
  5. -jeffB

    -jeffB Greshams LEO Supporter

    I'll be very surprised if we don't see gold back under $2000 in the next ten years.

    On the other hand, I'll be surprised if we don't see gold over $5000 in the same period.

    Now, if only I knew which would happen first, and when...
     
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  6. Collecting Nut

    Collecting Nut Borderline Hoarder

    Yes it can but it won’t. It’s still going up and it will continue to do so. Just look at world events.
     
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  7. Tall Paul

    Tall Paul Supporter! Supporter

    All I know is that my goal of procuring the three double eagles I needed to complete a gold type set starting with the Classic Head coins has been put on an indefinite hold.
     
  8. longnine009

    longnine009 Darwin has to eat too. Supporter

    OP you may find Armstrong's opinion on metals useful. Or maybe not. If you find that you like him, he has a ton of free blogs (and archives) he's been posting for at least the 15 years that I've been reading him. And he's been doing these interviews, usually every week now, for about five years. Sometimes he does two or three a week.

    https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/...-new-wall-street-part-2-armstrong-unfiltered/

    Hey, if investing was easy we'd all be a success at it, in reality, rather than our dreams.
     
  9. mpcusa

    mpcusa "Official C.T. TROLL SWEEPER"

    I guess anything is possible, but I would be really surprised if it did, think more likely will be heading in the other direction and once we hit 4K 5 is right around the corner :)
     
    GoldFinger1969 likes this.
  10. gxseries

    gxseries Coin Collector

    It will fall if the global economy does well.

    Clearly that's not the case and there's no relief in sight.
     
    slackaction1 likes this.
  11. CoinCorgi

    CoinCorgi Tell your dog I said hi!

    It has to go up 100% before it can fall 50%. That's the trend, it seems :)
     
    GoldFinger1969 likes this.
  12. fretboard

    fretboard Defender of Old Coinage!

    I'm not concerned at all, all the research shows that when gold has gone down in price, it's come right back up. Going up and down is part of the excitement but let's be real here, never before in US history has the price steadily climbed like it's climbing right now! :D Gold easily to 4k by Xmas, easily! lol.gif
     
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  13. GoldFinger1969

    GoldFinger1969 Well-Known Member

    Actually, it can take quite a while. Took 28 years to take out the 1980 highs....took 9 years to take out the 2011 highs.

    Stocks bounce back faster the last 40 years.
    Feasible.

    However, while the absolute $$$ price moves are obviously new....we've had faster runups percentage-wise in 2002-08 and 1971-80.
     
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  14. fretboard

    fretboard Defender of Old Coinage!

    Pretty sure I have nothing to worry about as the price of gold and our economy overall is a lot different today than it was in the 1980's. I'm not saying it can't happen but I'm not gonna worry about it until it does! :D
     
  15. ToughCOINS

    ToughCOINS Dealer Member Moderator

    The circumstances that put gold on its current trajectory are extremely well-entrenched, and will take years to reverse. I am not a believer that gold will retreat meaningfully until reckless spending and government dependence become things of the past.
     
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