25th Anniversary Silver Eagle Set PRICE WATCH

What the devil is "swag"? I'm familiar with "swagger" as my dear friend Guano exhibits it quite often, but I'm unfamiliar with the former.......

 

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green18;

I think I'll hide and lurk behind you. If the answer is obvious, I'll pretend I knew all along. :>)

 

It means "Scientific Wild Ass Guess". I heard it plenty when I worked in industry, though most using it in this context are unfamiliar with the actual acronym.

 

Number of set/boxes sold, ungraded:

1 sealed: 270 sets
5 sealed: 960 boxes = 4800 sets
other sealed(boxes of 2, 3 or 4): 212 counted(11/29-12/21) + 470 estimated(11/9-11/28) = 682 sets
total sealed: 5752 sets

1 unsealed: 1986 counted(11/14-12/21) + 315 estimated(11/9-11/13) = 2301 sets
other unsealed(auctions of more than 1): 72 counted(12/1 - 12/21) + 158 estimated = 230 sets
total unsealed: 2531 sets

total ungraded: 8283 sets thru 12/21

estimates derived by using actual ratio's of counted sets and applying the same ratios when data was unknown.

 

Average daily prices, ungraded:

 

Profit, ungraded:
Subtracts ebay fees, paypal fees, and insured express mail.

This chart shows the cost of opening a sealed box and selling the sets individually.

 

Number of sets sold, graded:

PCGS70: 630 sets
PCGS69: 256 counted + 28 estimated = 284 sets

NGC70: 1008 sets
NGC69: 282 counted + 72 estimated = 354 sets

Total Graded: 2276 sets

 

Average daily prices, graded:

 

profit, graded:

Subtracts out grading fees(first strike for pcgs), ebay fees, paypal fees, and insured express mail fees.

I've only seen two non first strike sets sell on ebay, so I haven't seperated out those sales yet.

 

StevenF,

You are great with the preparation and organization of numbers. Do you do tax returns? :>)

 

I use WAG frequently for capacity planing, I don't a need ascientific formula for a Wild Ass Guess. Now my WAG is that the A25 coins have bottom out at $600 per set.

 

NCG graded sales on Heritage

Closed 12/25/2011 at 10:00PM CST
Rev Proof 69.....$220.00
Rev Proof 70.....$350.00
2011W PF69......$39.00
Set of 69's........$550.00
Set of 70's........$1,000.00
15% buyers fees are not included.

 

$39.00 FOR THE 2011W PF69 ??? DAM THAT A GOOD PRICE :smile

 

we appear to be seeing a bit of upward movement since Christmas (on orig packaging sets) http://www.ebay.com/itm/2011-25th-A...Individual&hash=item20c059ac7b#ht_1320wt_1396

 

...

 

I just realized I ay have posted the grades to the wrong thread. Sorry.

 

It it appears they have started to move up some.


What to do?

 

I have 1 raw, and 2 ngc 70 sets, would you break up 1 70 set (keep the 2 keys) sell the 3 and buy and S graded 69?

 

Open set 15 minutes left $535. http://www.ebay.com/itm/25th-Annive...238?pt=LH_DefaultDomain_0&hash=item4160b5c05e

 

I was watching and and last bid I saw lt minute was$650