How will Fighting in Iran affect Metals?

Discussion in 'Bullion Investing' started by physics-fan3.14, Feb 28, 2026 at 3:03 PM.

  1. Pickin and Grinin

    Pickin and Grinin Well-Known Member

    So?
     
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  3. Collecting Nut

    Collecting Nut Borderline Hoarder

    It’s up!
     
  4. mpcusa

    mpcusa "Official C.T. TROLL SWEEPER"

    As predicted..LOL GOLD @ $5,365 and SILVER @ $94.19, the administration said the war could go for weeks with more countries getting involved, i am eager to see where will be April 1st, also Iran has basically cut off 20% pf the worlds oil supply by targeting anything coming down the strait, have alresdy destroyed two oil tankers !
     
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  5. SensibleSal66

    SensibleSal66 U.S Casual Collector / Error Collector

    All I know is that I heard oil price will rise now. Bad for Us. I'm more concerned about that and Gas prices as well.
    Not educated enough to know how it will affect Gold and Silver however.
     
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  6. GoldFinger1969

    GoldFinger1969 Well-Known Member

    We're looking at oil being oversupplied bigtime. If not for Chinese inventory stocking, the price would have been in the $40's a few months ago.

    Unless demand picks up globally, we have a natural oversupply if not for sanctions and wars.
     
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  7. SensibleSal66

    SensibleSal66 U.S Casual Collector / Error Collector

    TY. And that's why I flunked economics. :(
     
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  8. GoldFinger1969

    GoldFinger1969 Well-Known Member

    And that's why I graduated with Honors in Economics and worked as an economist. :D

    Anybody who wants to get great oil supply and demand analysis, check out my old DB colleague Paul Sankey, probably the best oil analyst out there now working solo. Sankey Research has free registration and most of the material is free. Website can be tough to navigate around, Morning and Sunday Sankey is where you want to get fresh updates.
     
    jolumoga likes this.
  9. jolumoga

    jolumoga Active Member

    I just listened to Sankey on a CNBC clip and he suggested the Venezuela operation may have been designed to lower the oil price (perhaps by increasing production?). I'll try to avoid getting political here, but it looks like there's a hornet's nest that has just been stirred in the Middle East. So, at least temporarily - and even then that's a problem when the global economy is fragile - the oil price may spike obscenely high. But then again I really don't know. We'll see day by day, week to week, where this goes.
     
    Last edited: Mar 2, 2026 at 9:25 AM
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  10. longnine009

    longnine009 Darwin has to eat too. Supporter

    You must remember MPC? Our Economic teacher said everyone remembers Marginal Propensity to Consume. Even those sleeping at the back of the class right now will remember MPC for the rest if their lives.
     
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  11. GoldFinger1969

    GoldFinger1969 Well-Known Member

    Eventually Iran wants to sell oil. It's a wasting asset. It's not 1974 -- threats to boycott the Imperialists won't fly.

    They can't eat it or use it.

    They need to export and NOW while the getting is good. Nobody is gonna want their oil in 40 years most likely.
     
  12. longnine009

    longnine009 Darwin has to eat too. Supporter

  13. justafarmer

    justafarmer Senior Member

    Qatar has shut down their LNG production Due to attacks. That is 20% of world's supply.
     
  14. GoldFinger1969

    GoldFinger1969 Well-Known Member

    NatGas up 40% in the UK.

    NatGas up 1-2% in the U.S.

    Drill, Baby, Drill. :D
     
  15. GoldFinger1969

    GoldFinger1969 Well-Known Member

    Bond yields UP 9 beeps...markets now turning or about to turn green.

    Fade the open remains in effect. :cigar:
     
  16. Jeffjay

    Jeffjay Well-Known Member

    I'm guessing a lot of money is being poured into war profiteering.
     
  17. Heavymetal

    Heavymetal Supporter! Supporter

    I resemble that!
     
  18. mpcusa

    mpcusa "Official C.T. TROLL SWEEPER"

    Would think this route would be a top priority for the U.S.A to keep open, and all costs !
     
  19. -jeffB

    -jeffB Greshams LEO Supporter

    Closing the route is likely to raise oil and gas prices.

    Keeping it open "at any cost"? Those costs can add up very quickly, and are denominated in lives and limbs, not just dollars.
     
  20. longnine009

    longnine009 Darwin has to eat too. Supporter

    Economics will win over lives and limbs. No oil no economy. Whatever happened to all this oil we'd have from fracking?

    Again, I'm sick of Iran, I'm sick of the Middle East and I sick of Straight of fracking Hormuz---more left over Iran crap from 1979. We have an admitted defense budget of a trillion dollars. Buy a freaking map.
     
    Last edited: Mar 2, 2026 at 2:49 PM
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  21. GoldFinger1969

    GoldFinger1969 Well-Known Member

    Not unless you consider Mortgage REITs a defense supplier !! :D
     
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