1913 S and 1914 S Barber Qtr Buyers Grade?

Discussion in 'US Coins Forum' started by USS656, Jul 19, 2013.

  1. USS656

    USS656 Here to Learn Supporter

    This estate collection is made up of quite a few coins with hairlines. When looking at some of the key coins, what impact on grade/value is there when the coins look like these two? As you can see from this page, the owner picked coins that all looked similar in condition. There are not that many 1913 S quarters. I would have to think even in this condition there is a demand for a coin that looks like this.

    As a side note: Considering some of the damage that has been done to some of the coins in the collection by storing them in albums in less than perfect conditions, honestly I am glad the collection doesn't contain many high grade coins. As a collector, (me) I am glad I never got into storing my coins in albums. I know some collectors like them, but I am forever scared after seeing this collection. I just wouldn't risk my investment.

    Thanks for your thoughts on net grade and depreciated value.

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]
     
  2. Avatar

    Guest User Guest



    to hide this ad.
  3. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Darryl the best way for you to answer your questions is for you to simply look on Heritage and compare realized prices for the same grade in problem free & problem coins. Problem coins are always impacted detrimentally in grade & value both. But there is no set rule for it, there are just too many variables involved.
     
  4. USS656

    USS656 Here to Learn Supporter


    I figured someone would say look at ebay or HA but I also know we have enough knowledgeable Barber collectors (waiting on Frank :) ) that might give me more of a general idea on the subject. Also good to get different perspectives on how people collect and buy.

    Obviously I know net grade and value are affected but just using real world examples to try to gauge how much. More times then not we only talk about the issue and don't use real examples to show the potential impact. For example: What would someone pay for these two coins problem free versus the condition they are truly in?

    One of the things dealers have an advantage with is having daily discussions with customers that bring coins in with issues like these. Wouldn't it be good as a discussion point for the forum members to hear that without actually owning the coin or taking the hit?

    Just whats kicking around in my head as I look at these coins and thought I would share.
     
  5. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    I don't think you understand what I am telling you. For example, if you look on Heritage for 1913-S Barber quarters in G4, with damage and yours is damaged, you will find some examples selling for as little as $500. You will also find some that were harshly cleaned selling for as much as $900. That's almost a 100% spread just for 2 different problems.

    Of course the problem free examples, same grade, are selling for $1200 to $1600.

    With any coin, even problem free examples, you are going to find a huge range of prices. Even when 2 coins are the exact same grade, and both are graded by the same TPG, it is not uncommon to find coin #1 selling for double what coin #2 sold for. Do you understand what that means ? I'm saying you can have 2 Barber quarters, both graded MS64 by PCGS, and #1 will sell for $1500 and #2 will sell for $3000. And that is true with almost every coin !

    Now imagine what happens when you get to problem coins. It gets even worse is what I'm telling you. And it gets worse because there so very, very, many variables.

    And yes, those all real examples.
     
  6. USS656

    USS656 Here to Learn Supporter

    Thanks for the real world examples Doug. I know you are trying to help me understand there are too many variables. I am just trying to take the variables out and get a feel for how I should react to a coin like this say if I were going to buy it. I don't own it and honestly I would not buy it as a collector (but I am sure others would). If I was looking to buy it ~ to turn it though, how much does the condition of these coins affect value of what might be found in the grey sheet?

    I know there is a lesson here and I am trying to learn it without the loss. Again - this is purely a hypothetical set of questions and I am trying to spark a discussion that might help me and other collectors.

    I totally understand - at auction, timing (placement in the auction) alone can affect the value. I've seen it. How many of the same coin in similar grade and different grade affects prices realized. I also get that depending on the number of potential buyers and even the time of year can affect prices.

    The one thing that shouldn't vary too much is how a knowledgeable trusted dealer reacts to a coin like this one. Maybe I am wrong, but I would think in terms of the amount of time used to set value there must be some general set of rules. While this is a different approach to the original question, maybe it helps me get to the same place. Or maybe there is just no hope (more likely).
     
  7. USS656

    USS656 Here to Learn Supporter

    I feel like I am Will Smith and I'm just not asking the right question. At least the fate of the human race does not hang in the balance. :) Come on Ken - where are you when I need you. I have given enough ammo. lol
     
    KoinJester likes this.
  8. Tom B

    Tom B TomB Everywhere Else

    Although they have value, both are common coins in low grade and their liquidity might be harmed more than their sales price.
     
  9. USS656

    USS656 Here to Learn Supporter

    Amended - common in low grade I get but with only 40K minted I cannot imagine there are that many available. 28 on ebay currently (almost all buy it now) so I guess they are out there but not that many to choose from compared to most other coins.
     
  10. USS656

    USS656 Here to Learn Supporter

    Hope this is better D.

    [​IMG]
     
  11. Tom B

    Tom B TomB Everywhere Else

    All it takes is a little patience to find one of these; that is a common coin. If you look through Heritage auctions archives you will see that Heritage alone has offered 572 of these pieces (1913-S and 1914-S) since the mid-1990s. They are always available.
     
  12. USS656

    USS656 Here to Learn Supporter

    Lets say that's 15 years worth of auction results and two dates. That equates to less than 2 coins a month of each (13 and 14). Ya they are out there but still say the 13S is not all that common compared to most any other coin.

    Still just trying to understand by how much the grey sheet would be affected by the condition of these two coins. 70% on buy, 80% on buy, 50% on buy for the 13S and 80% for the 14S due to the high mintage?
     
  13. USS656

    USS656 Here to Learn Supporter

    okay, spent some time looking at completed auctions on ebay. Going back to April there were only 12 1913S coins that sold in an auction format. Only one raw and it was similar to the coin I pictured. It sold for $735. That's right in the middle of what Doug mentioned and helps to support what he said.

    I guess for someone that might be interested in a problem key coin you probably want to buy at no more than half of the problem free buy price. A dealer is probably not going to offer more than 1/4 of the buy price?
     
  14. Treashunt

    Treashunt The Other Frank

    Darryl

    Great coins.

    [altho I am prejudiced, as you know.]

    I think the $700 is fair for the '13S, it is a G-06, but PCGS would give it a G details.

    Still, I like it.

    [Note: I could make this a 1,000 word essay, but it is too early. :) ]
     
  15. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Darryl about the only rule of thumb you will ever get for problem coins is the same one I have given for years and in probably 100 posts on this forum. That is - anywhere from 20% - 80% of what a problem free example would bring. Real world numbers that I've watched for, oh, 25 - 30 years, support that estimate.

    Now you're gonna say - but that doesn't tell me anything, that's too big of a range. Well, that's what I was trying to tell you. You just can't refine it any better than that because of all the variables involved.

    Always remember - if the normal range that you see every day for problem free coins, and I mean all coins, can vary as much as a 100%, and on some occasions I've seen it even be more, what else can you possible expect the range to be for problem coins ?

    Part of the problem people have with wrapping their heads around this idea is this - people tend to think, because they want to believe it, that there is some magic number that any given coin in any given grade is worth. But that is not the case at all, it simply isn't true. The value of any coin, in any given grade, will fall within a range of numbers, and that range can vary as much as 100%.

    And I'll say it one more time for those who still do not understand what that means. It means if you take any 2 coins, exact same grade, graded by the same TPG, one of them might sell for as much as double what the other one sold for.

    So how do you get a rule of thumb out of that ?
     
  16. USS656

    USS656 Here to Learn Supporter

    I get it Doug. So based on this round about discussion I will answer my own question. For me if I was buying as a dealer I should probably buy the 13S at 350 to 400 and be happy if I get anything over 500 for it. I will hope to get 700 but have to protect my investment and buy below my low number. Dealers have to make these buy decisions every day, right.

    As a collector I want to try to pick it up at 500 but anything below 650 is sort of a win.

    Is that unreasonable from either perspective
     
  17. USS656

    USS656 Here to Learn Supporter

    Thanks Frank

    Going through the barber dimes this morning. Would love to have you sitting here with me giving me your perspective on these coins!
     
  18. spock1k

    spock1k King of Hearts

    what have you to say for problem coins in slabs selling for 100% of the value as problem free coins?
     
  19. USS656

    USS656 Here to Learn Supporter

    I am pretty confident Doug would say: buy the coin, not the slab.
     
  20. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Yup.

    But to answer the question, I would suspect that the buyer didn't know what he was doing.
     
  21. spock1k

    spock1k King of Hearts

    and that is the condition of one of the fastest growing markets in the world
     
Draft saved Draft deleted

Share This Page