Sleepers

Discussion in 'Coin Chat' started by Coinman1974, Mar 31, 2010.

  1. Coinman1974

    Coinman1974 Research, Research, Research

    Hello everyone,

    I was just looking through a July 2009 issue of COINS and found an article on sleeper coins.

    The article did show a lot of coins that are technically under valued. This makes me wonder. With the current rise in precious metals will these change?

    I did go through the 2010 Redbook , as I do not have 2011 yet, waiting for it. These are some that I found.

    Now in the list below top coin is the sleeper with the bottom not being a sleeper. Look at the mintage, then the price. The top coin will have a low mintage and low price, the bottom coin will have a higher mintage and higher price.


    Liberty head Dollar:
    1854s
    Mintage 14,632
    AU50 Price $900

    1851c
    Mintage 41,267
    AU50 Price $2,000

    Quarter Eagles

    1868
    Mintage 3,600
    AU50 Price $700

    1876
    Mintage 4,176
    AU50 Price $1,000

    Half Eagles

    1859
    Mintage 16,734
    AU50 Price $800

    1855s
    Mintage 61,000
    AU50 Price $2,750

    Eagles

    1856
    Mintage 60,490
    AU50 Price $700

    1854s
    Mintage 123,826
    AU50 Price $1,300

    Double Eagles

    1908s
    Mintage 59,850
    AU50 Price $850

    1920s
    Mintage 126,500
    AU50 Price $17,500

    I am sure there are a lot more of these, and as the article did state there is no guarantee these will go up in value, but there is the chance, especially with more collectors entering the market.

    What do you think? Would it be wise to purchase these for investment, or at least use these numbers to look for certain coins for an investment?

    I find it funny as i have never really looked at gold, as I always assumed it to be way out of my price range, and after looking at just a few, I am now considering it.

    When doing this i looked specifically for gold coins with low mintage under $1,000 for the sleepers. I am sure there are a lot lower mintages and prices as well. We just have to do more homework.

    Regards,
    Stan
     
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  3. jhinton

    jhinton Well-Known Member

    I read the same article. The author made a valid point in my opinion. I don’t think you could do too bad if you bought them.
     
  4. cerdsalicious

    cerdsalicious BigShot

    We have ahd discussions on thsi before, the conclusion we came to last time was that Eisenhowers, may be the next big sleeper, but everyone had multiple opinions, it just depended on what they owned.
     
  5. Coinman1974

    Coinman1974 Research, Research, Research

    Hello everyone,

    I am on the verge of doing some major research onto sleepers, while trying to research 1787 and 1788 Massachusetts Half Cent and Cent.

    I am thinking of going for a time span say 2000 to 2010. To see during those years which coins were the biggest sleepers. it will be a lengthy project, and I maybe asking you all for a lot of help.

    Think it would be worth it?

    Regards,
    Stan
     
  6. bqcoins

    bqcoins Olympic Figure Skating Scoring System Expert

    That wouldn't be too hard you really just need two redbooks to do that project. I know that the 1899 Morgan went up in value 600-700% during that time frame.
     
  7. Treashunt

    Treashunt The Other Frank

    Stan

    Go for it.
     
  8. Coinman1974

    Coinman1974 Research, Research, Research


    I am going to go year by year then in the end do the whole ten year analysis. Doing this shows the steady growth of some while others slowly fall further behind.

    Anyone else have any other ideas on how to go about this?

    Regards,
    Stan
     
  9. jhinton

    jhinton Well-Known Member

    You could just order the CDN Graph books.... They would give you a great start!
     
  10. yakpoo

    yakpoo Member

    It'll be interesting to see what you come up with! :thumb:

    I posted to another thread that the 2007 First Spouse Bronze set sold from the Mint for $15.95, but you can't touch it anymore for less than $50. I know that FS Bronzes are "medals" and not "coins", but they seem to be going up in price quite a bit (percentage-wise) lately. :whistle:
     
  11. Coinman1974

    Coinman1974 Research, Research, Research

    Yakpoo,

    I was not even considering medals to be honest. Maybe once i get through silver and gold i will look into those as well. I have my books all set up paper and pen ready to go. Going to take a bit of time, as I want to give an honest evaluation for all collectors.

    Question for everyone, do you think the monthly coin mags that come out are that much different then the redbook? Would it be wise to use those verse the redbook?

    Regards,
    Stan
     
  12. yakpoo

    yakpoo Member

    I would be concerned that the Red Book wouldn't give you the "currency" or "granularity" needed for a project such as this.

    I like the idea of the Coin Dealer Newsletter (CDN) graphs mentioned earlier by jhinton. I haven't worked with them personally, but they might be just what you're looking for.
     
  13. Coinman1974

    Coinman1974 Research, Research, Research

    Thank you. Looks like what i was planning on doing has been done. However do you think one book of major coins say top 200 -300 coins or would that be to small?

    Regards,
    Stan
     
  14. green18

    green18 Unknown member Sweet on Commemorative Coins

    Sorry, I always snore when I sleep...and my wife always gives me a kind and considerate shove to try and remedy my condition......KEN, STOP SNORING!

    I echo Treashunt...go for it Stan......:)
     
  15. Coinman1974

    Coinman1974 Research, Research, Research

    Thanks guy!

    Well here goes nothing, right.

    Regards,
    Stan
     
  16. HULL COINS

    HULL COINS Member

    I still think regardless of mintage, survivability is what is important to look at. In Rick Snows Indian Head Cent book it mentions how the 1877 IHC has more than double the mintage numbers but the coin is worth much more than the 1909 S IHC. There was also the big economic trouble around 1877. So, I would rather have a 1877 IHC over a 1909 S IHC, even though the 09 S has a much lower population. IMO
     
  17. green18

    green18 Unknown member Sweet on Commemorative Coins

    Spring break old fellow? ( how are the studies going?) So good to see you my friend.....;)
     
  18. swish513

    swish513 Penny & Cent Collector

    did you actually read the book, or just look at numbers??

    and i quote rick snow from his book...

     
  19. Cringely

    Cringely Active Member

    As far as the price of metals, it will have no effect on any 19th century silver coins in conditions above VG. For late 19th century and 20th century gold (excluding low mintage coins), the price of gold is the major factor for grades below VF, but not for EF and higher grades.
     
  20. Coinman1974

    Coinman1974 Research, Research, Research

    Hello everyone,

    Been crunching numbers, looking at coins (Yeah I know painful huh). There are going to be some nice surprises!

    Regards,
    Stan
     
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