Retaining Long Term Value on Coins

Discussion in 'Coin Chat' started by CaptainMorgan, Jul 10, 2008.

  1. CaptainMorgan

    CaptainMorgan New Member

    I'm thinking of beggining againt to collect coins, specifically silver, palladium, and gold. I like the historic value as well as the artistic side mainly. Whilst I understand that coin=!=investment, I am still however interested in maintaining long term value and even accruing in value.

    1) What sort of coins are collected that have historically held their value and steadily increased? Like Morgans, ect.?

    2) Do you see newer coins such as those from the mint maintain and grow (long term) in their value?
     
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  3. Hobo

    Hobo Squirrel Hater

    Welcome aboard, Captain.

    I don't know if there is a simple answer to your question. Coin values are driven by the market and no one knows what any particular coin - or the coin market in general - will do in the future.

    Could you explain the concept of coin=!=investment to us. I don't think I am familiar with that one.
     
  4. rzage

    rzage What Goes Around Comes Around .

    Probably a rule of thumb , key dates , in series that are collected as series , and ultra rare coins .
    rzage
     
  5. Cloudsweeper99

    Cloudsweeper99 Treasure Hunter

    If you buy silver and gold coins, and stick with the classics that retain popularity from generation to generation, and buy good dates/mintmarks, and avoid counterfeits and cleaned/damaged coins, and know enough about grading to buy properly graded coins, and don't overpay compared to both recent auction prices and historical prices --- then you have a reasonable chance of not losing much money when you go to resell them. It's hard work and also requires a bit of luck and a lot of insight into the future direction of the hobby. Years ago, the advice to buy key dates was good advice and almost sure [in hindsight] to be profitable. However, now most key date coins sell at premium prices that are high enough to make the purchase unprofitable over very long periods of time if future collectors aren't even more willing than present collectors to pay higher and higher premiums than anyone who went before them. Among the newer coins I think the Silver Eagles could rise to substantial premiums over bullion value shortly after the US Mint discontinues the series, but probably not before.

    Is that hard enough? Anyway, welcome to the forum. If you like Morgans, study and collect them. They seem destined to be eternally popular and are great looking coins.
     
  6. zabb

    zabb New Member

    =! means not equal to, it is used in a bunch of programming languages :)
     
  7. Hobo

    Hobo Squirrel Hater

    I am very familiar with mathematical formulas (formulae) and I thought what you had written was:

    "coins equal exclamation equals investment"

    I had no idea what that meant. But now I understand.

    So in programming language the exclamation mark represents the slash through an equals sign which makes it "not equal to". Very interesting. I learn something every day.
     
  8. Jonathon

    Jonathon New Member

    If you are familar with mathematical formulae you should know that an exclamation mark stands for factorial. The best way to describe it is with some examples
    5! = 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1
    10! = 10 x 9 x 8 x 7 x 6 x 5 x 4 x 3 x 2 x 1
    Although "coins equal factorial equals investment" still doesn't make sense lol
     
  9. spock1k

    spock1k King of Hearts

    captain morgan welcome to C:Din Talk
     
  10. Hobo

    Hobo Squirrel Hater

    Wow! I haven't thought about factorials in 2 or 3 decades. That brings back memories. Good memories because I always liked math.
     
  11. Jonathon

    Jonathon New Member

    Cool I like math too. I'm really good at it :)
     
  12. rzage

    rzage What Goes Around Comes Around .

    Was always good at math , but what are factorals used for .
    rzage
     
  13. Hobo

    Hobo Squirrel Hater

    If I recall correctly factorials are used a lot in probability and statistics to calculate the total number of combinations that can be made from a given set of items.

    For example, suppose you wanted to calculate the total number of combinations of Red, Green and Blue. This one is fairly easy to do by hand:

    Red Green Blue
    Red Blue Green
    Green Red Blue
    Green Blue Red
    Blue Red Green
    Blue Green Red

    The total number of combinations can simply be counted - 6.

    But what happens when you have a large number of items? Things get complicated fast.

    In the above example the formula can be written T = n! where:

    T = total number of combinations
    n = the integer representing the number of colors (or items)

    n! = 1 X 2 X 3 X 4 . . . X n (obviously ignoring "X 3" and "X 4" as needed)

    So 3! = 1 X 2 X 3 = 6

    If we added one more color to the above set (for a total of 4) the total number of combinations would be:

    4! = 1 X 2 X 3 X 4 = 24

    This concludes your math lesson for today.
     
  14. Spider

    Spider ~

    and to add onto Hobo, here's an example

    how many words can be made from the word MISSISSIPPI?

    well there's 11 letters and 3 i's, 2 p's and 4 s's
    so you do 11! divided by (3! x 2! x 4!)
    in other words 11x10x9x8x7x6x5x4x3x2x1 / 3x2x1x2x1x4x3x2x1
    and you get 138600 possibilities !!!
     
  15. rzage

    rzage What Goes Around Comes Around .

    I understand Hobos' example but Spider you lost me .
    rzage
     
  16. Hobo

    Hobo Squirrel Hater

    I shoulda been a math teacher. I considered it for a while when I was in college.
     
  17. rzage

    rzage What Goes Around Comes Around .

    Being able to get your point across makes good teachers .
    rzage
     
  18. Spider

    Spider ~

    it's okay, I understand

    you should see me train someone new at work, not the best thing for me. i just like to work, get paid and buy coins.
     
  19. rzage

    rzage What Goes Around Comes Around .

    :smile:hatch::hammer:
    Spider , didn't mean you'd make a bad teacher , just that your example was a little too complicated to "ME":confused:
    rzage:smile:hatch::hammer:
     
  20. green18

    green18 Unknown member Sweet on Commemorative Coins

    Boys....Boys....lets get back to collecting coins. Mathamatics and statistics drive me up a wall.
     
  21. Bonedigger

    Bonedigger New Member

    One might say; "Trust the answers you get here as far as you can throw the pencil which wrote them...." But generally the posters here are trying to help you. :)

    Welcome to the forum. :)
    Ben
     
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