PCGS "Old Green Holder" - Price Premium

Discussion in 'Coin Chat' started by Mint Mark, Mar 21, 2019.

  1. Mint Mark

    Mint Mark Junior Member

    About ten years ago, I went on a bit of a buying binge seeking out PCGS "old green holder" coins. Mostly Morgan dollars, but not entirely. Like many collectors, I held (I still do, actually) the belief that these older slabs are worth more than a coin of the same grade in a newer holder. The question is, "How MUCH more are they worth?"

    I am considering selling a good bit of my collection. It's not like I have that many of them; a couple of dozen. Most are MS64 common-date Morgans. These same dates seem to be worth roughly double in MS65 as compared to MS64. So I was thinking about asking, say, a 25 percent premium. In other words, Numismedia FMV for an 1881-S MS64 is $65. In MS65, that same date is $125. I was thinking of asking $80 for it. Easy enough.

    However, I have several OGH coins with much greater pricing disparities between the current grade and the next one higher. For instance, I have a 1964 PF69 Kennedy. FMV for PF69 is $110. However, PF70 is $1250. What do I do with this one? Should I crack it out, resubmit it, and hope for a PF70? Perhaps. Using my 25 percent premium formula, we're only talking ~$140.

    I've got an 1884-CC MS66 Morgan and two PF68 1960 Franklins with similar differences in value (6-8 times) between the coin as graded and the next higher grade.

    I'd just as soon sell these coins as they are. Then again, I'm not in that big of a hurry and it's not like I really need the money. Is resubmitting them a long shot? Or is it worth a crack (no pun intended)?
     
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  3. Seattlite86

    Seattlite86 Outspoken Member

    We'd need to see great photos of each coin before we could even opine as to whether you have a shot, which of course, would always only be an opinion.

    Regarding premiums, OGHs do seem to command a premium. If you're selling on eBay, you could always put the highest amount you think you could get and put in an option to make an offer and see what comes up.

    Regarding submissions, I'll need someone more knowledgeable to chime in, but I'm under the impression you can say not to crack a coin out if it does not receive a higher grade, and you simply pay for them to look at it and send it back.
     
  4. Burton Strauss III

    Burton Strauss III Brother can you spare a trime? Supporter

    But... the ones in the market all this time have mostly been already picked over, tried for upgrades and found wanting... i.e. C coins in the A-B-C scale.
     
  5. BuffaloHunter

    BuffaloHunter Short of a full herd Supporter

    Would a submittal to CAC make sense for this? I imagine the combination of the OGH and a gold bean, if given, would make for more $$.
     
    Mainebill, Paul M., longshot and 2 others like this.
  6. The recent "new green p c g s slabs" To celebrate the anniversary, In some cases is going for a little premium. Just depends on the individual who wants or willing to pay the extra premium.
     
    slackaction1 likes this.
  7. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    To people who know what they are doing, they are not worth any more at all. In fact they are probably worth less. To people who don't know what they are doing - the sky's the limit. And therein lies the crux of the matter for there are a whole lot more of the latter than there are of the former.

    Ya see, there's a couple of things involved here. For one, the "old green holder" was used for a long time, a lot longer than most people are aware of, about 10 years if memory serves correctly. Its use stopped in 1998. The second thing has already been mentioned, at least partially. And that is that the coins in the OGH were picked over and resubmitted for upgrades a long, long time ago. But I don't think many realize just how long ago. To put a date on it, it was pretty much over and done with by 2001.

    Something else many if not most are unaware of, is that the OGH game was not new when it happened in '98, that was the second go round for that game. The first occurred about 10 years before that.

    And even after 2001 the very same game of resubmitting coins in previous generation holders for upgrades has been played several times more. And it is still being played today, vigorously.

    People who know what they are doing have known this all along and they have played the game many times. And the one and only thing that keeps this game going are all those people out there who do not know what they are doing. For the most part, they aren't even aware that the game exist.
     
  8. Burton Strauss III

    Burton Strauss III Brother can you spare a trime? Supporter

    There is a small but seemingly steady flow of new-to-market OGH.

    Gramps submitted all his coins in 1986 or so, and now in his 80s they're being sold for the first time.

    But the dealers who buy those collections get first dibs and are experts in what will upgrade... there go the As.

    So do you really trust the patter about new-to-market and are you feeling lucky with a B coin?????
     
    green18 likes this.
  9. wxcoin

    wxcoin Getting no respect since I was a baby

    Too bad the TPGs don't keep track and publicize information about each registered coin regarding whether it has been resubmitted, reholdered, etc. Of course we all know why they don't do that don't we.
     
    Cheech9712 likes this.
  10. Mint Mark

    Mint Mark Junior Member

    Great info, one and all. Many thanks.

    I've always thought of "certified" grades to be iffy to a certain extent. Regardless of how many experts you show a given coin to, grading is terribly subjective.

    It would be interesting to take a slabbed coin (OGH or otherwise), crack it out, resubmit it, see what it comes back with. Then crack it out a second time and resubmit it again. With what degree of certainty would you say that it will receive three identical grades?
     
  11. wxcoin

    wxcoin Getting no respect since I was a baby

    Good question. Another test would be to send the same coin to PCGS, NGC, and ANACS.
     
  12. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Both ideas are old ideas, and ideas that have been done numerous times. Even Coin World did it in the early 2000's, and published articles about it. But many individuals have done the same thing.

    Google the "crackout game" and you'll find more than you want to read.
     
    longshot likes this.
  13. wxcoin

    wxcoin Getting no respect since I was a baby

    Thanks for the info. I figured that this had been done before but didn't think to Google it. Of course, grading standards seem to be a moving target and it would be interesting to see how gradeflation would factor in today.

    As stated many many times before, buy the coin, not the holder.
     
  14. johnmilton

    johnmilton Well-Known Member

    What matters to those who know how to grade is, "What is the REAL grade? not what does the slab say or, "Does it have a sticker?" ON AVERAGE the green label holder coins were more conservatively graded, BUT some of them would get a "details grade" if they were cracked out and resubmitted.

    As for common date Morgan Dollars, they won't bring big premiums unless they look like iron clad upgrades, and next grade up has a big premium. Ditto for the CAC stickers. Those are the price for more expensive coins, not "stuff."
     
    Last edited: Mar 21, 2019
    longshot likes this.
  15. dwhiz

    dwhiz Collector Supporter

    I played that game once.
    If I recall correctly when Coin World did it SEGS won. 1909 DDO before after NOW-vert FS 1101.jpg
     
    Paul M. and wxcoin like this.
  16. longshot

    longshot Enthusiast Supporter

    In my observation, nice looking coins in OGH's do, on average, sell for at least a bit more on eBay, etc.

    But as has been said, the coin is what matters. If the OP's 64 graded Morgan's are actually 64.8's, they might be worth $80.00 to a knowledgeable buyer, right?
     
    Last edited: Mar 21, 2019
  17. TypeCoin971793

    TypeCoin971793 Just a random guy on the internet

    People only stand to lose money when they only think about coins in terms of commodities. Each coin is unique. Some are overgraded. Some are undergraded. Some (most) are spot-on.

    As @GDJMSP has stated above, the majority of the undergraded OGHs have already been picked over and resubmitted.
     
  18. wxcoin

    wxcoin Getting no respect since I was a baby

    Sometimes I look at coin auction prices for coins with CAC stickers vs those without and scratch my hairless head trying to figure out why that little sticker seemed to add so much value over non stickered examples. I may pay more if the coin came with a box of chocolate.
     
    johnmilton and TypeCoin971793 like this.
  19. desertgem

    desertgem Senior Errer Collecktor Supporter

    I wonder what the TPGs will do when they hit the limit ( reduction of regrades, or top picks types of coins as except for counterfeits as no new 1884-$ morgans are being made and the internet /TV get rich programs made many more people aware of value on certain coins and there are far more billionaires with investments to make) ,
    Start a new Professional Super non- academic grading scale and go to 100 from 70 with pure gold stickers for suckers? It will be interesting and probably some TPG will go back to " Classic original coin grading" and pooh pah the high grades ?

    Jim
     
    wxcoin likes this.
  20. Tokens

    Tokens Member

    The Sheldon scale always has been religious garbage.
    Grading services wield way, way, way, way too much influence in a scheme that is utterly subjective- with literally hundreds of millions of dollars swirling around it- to put any faith in the integrity of the process.

    Regrettably, they've become even more necessary with the rise of high quality forgeries but if the magical difference between a 63 and a 64 cannot be quantified in any objective way and results in $15,000 price difference on the basis of the 'word' of a few human beings who aren't accountable to anyone.. don't expect that process to have much integrity.

    Oh, to have the inside line at one of the aftermarket grading services...
     
    TypeCoin971793 and wxcoin like this.
  21. desertgem

    desertgem Senior Errer Collecktor Supporter

    Most likely they have NDAs and since they only look at it for about 10 seconds, I doubt they remember it after they do the next coin. If the finalizers OK it ,unless it is more than a grade off probably , that's it. Until there is a TPG that only certifies the authenticity by known experts at a lower price than the other majors, they are still the only game. IMO, Jim
     
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