What do you think of recent super low mintage U.S. Mint issues?

You left off a lot of the modern commemorative coins IIRC. See my other post regarding the U.S. Marshals proof gold.

 

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Mixing apples and orange. Gold coins have far fewer collectors, so require far lower mintage to appreciate. See the discussion above, I'm talking more about coins that are part of regular U.S. coin series.

 

Read the post you quoted.

 

The definition of "super low mintage" in this thread makes me chuckle just a bit -- 75,000 is not a low mintage product. Especially when every single one of them will be saved in near perfect (as issued) condition. Oh, and the fact that Roosevelt dimes suffer from the "too small a coin to collect" disease -- small denomination and size coins always have fewer collectors than their large counterparts.

Carry on...

 

But that isn't what you stated. And by focusing on the last 20 years, you are being a bit short-sighted. This type of material is notorious for experiencing a peak or plateau before dropping sharply. There are notable exceptions, including some listed here. Keep in mind that this is the exception and not the rule.

Also, when coins are hyped shortly after release, they are hoarded in high condition, which hurts them in the long run. The 1975 proof sets and 1950-D are still way below what these pieces sold for decades ago in the secondary market (and not necessarily issue price).

 

All regular issue U.S. Coins with 100k or less mintage in the last 20 years have done very well. That's because the mintage is SUPER LOW for the demand.

 

I did. You asked us to list them even though you don't collect them. It still hurts your premise that no moderns with a mintage of a 100,000 or less have been duds. This is not the case. You're attempting to define the issue to suit your argument and have done so in an arbitrary manner.

 

Hmm... ASEs aren't regular issue coins as I understand that term to mean.

 

See post above. The last 20 years was selected because it's when the super low mintage coins started with the 1995-w proof ASE. The coins you mention are nowhere near 100k.

 

Statequrterguy, I suggest you study the stamp market. Years ago there was a huge collector base, but as USPS became more gimmicky and created too many varieties, people began to lose interest. Also the dealers and flippers cut their own wrists IMHO. I see parallels to modern U.S. coins.

 

LOL, and you're trying to confuse the premise. I did state that I'm talking about regular issue series and gave you a list. I do collect commems and I did not address commems because they're a whole different issue than regular isssues

 

My point is about hype and speculation. The only difference is a completely arbitrary mintage number. It is too soon to tell, but if history has taught us anything, these coins will suffer similar fates. Also, the issues that usually perform the best are low mintage business strikes that were intended to circulate. Let them cut down the ATB mintages that low and circulate them, and you might have a winner.

 

How do the pieces you cite differ from commemoratives?! They were struck to commemorate special anniversaries.

 

They're regular issue bullions with tens of millions of the regular issues made.

 

Again, let's deal with facts. There are no loosers, only winners over the last 20 years for regular issue U.S. Coins with a mintage of 100k or less. I know many who don't like moderns find it hard to deal with facts, but those are the facts.

 

What??? Keep trying.

 

True. However 20 years is a long term period and these super low mintage issues that are part of regular issue series have done well. You can disregard this fact, I'll buy these issue

 

The problem is that none of the coins on your list are "regular issue" coins. They (well, one can make a case for the standard proofs) are ALL special issue one-offs.

Most of them aren't even coins at all. They're bullion rounds which happen to have been issued by the U.S. mint rather than a private one.

 

There are in fact modern coins with mintages of 100,000 or less that are duds, but you are selectively excluding data to comport with your hypothesis. As the thread has progressed, you have added more restrictions that suggest that your hypothesis is already on shakey ground. That doesn't strike me as an accurate or logical way to form a hypothesis.

 

They are all part of regular issue series.

Yeah, old timers, myself included at one time, once believed ASE's were bulion and not really a collectable coin. That's all changed. Apparently since they have the denomination of one dollar on them, they have become the number 1 collected silver dollar, yes, even more so than Morgans.