U.S. Mint's Weekly Sales & Production Reports

Discussion in 'US Coins Forum' started by statequarterguy, Jan 15, 2014.

  1. statequarterguy

    statequarterguy Love Pucks

    I think I know what you're saying and this is what White's office is supposedly looking into. The category does say circulating only and the mint differentiates between circulated and uncirculateds in mints sets. The site once spelled out that mint products, including mint & proof sets are not included in the circulating numbers, but it's silent at this point. I'd say bsaed on the 2013 NA sales and reported production, the 2013 numbers only include circulations quality and no mint or proof set numbers
     
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  3. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Annual Mint set numbers are not included because they come from an entirely different production run than coins struck for circulation. But, coins for circulation often are included in several different categories that the mint reports on. The thing that one has to keep in mind is that the production categories the mint reports on are based on packaging, not on mintage.

    For example, look at these two links. Both links are for circulating coins, and both links are for the 2012 ATB quarters, and only them. But look at the huge difference in numbers - 9.3 billion vs 568 million

    http://www.usmint.gov/about_the_min...cted#starthere&CFID=34946967&CFTOKEN=37523503


    http://www.usmint.gov/about_the_min...cted#starthere&CFID=33243125&CFTOKEN=17309643

    The very same kind of thing happens with coins of other denominations as well.
     
  4. Pere

    Pere Active Member

    Both those links report just over 568 million quarters struck in 2012. The second link includes coins of all denominations combined to total 9.3B+.
     
  5. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

  6. statequarterguy

    statequarterguy Love Pucks

    Yes, makes since for your last link, lots of different packaging for the same coin. But, for the circulating Native American dollars, the only option to purchase them are the rolls, bags and boxes that total 1.7M each for P&D, not the reported 3M of each.
     
    Last edited: Jan 17, 2014
  7. Phil Ham

    Phil Ham Hamster

    I'm not sure if they count in the total, but the P & D Sacs are also available in the 2013 mint sets. It adds another 350k to the mix.
     
  8. statequarterguy

    statequarterguy Love Pucks

    Not supposed to be, as the mint calls the mint sets uncirculated and the rolls circulating quality. In the past and future, the mint sets have not been included. Even if you did include the mint sets, it would not explain the difference. The bottom line is, you can look at many different issues and years and find the sales do not equal the stated mintage - others are not off as much as the 2012 NA Dollars. Mint News Blog & Coin Update have both asked the mint what happens to the excess minted, but not sold and have only received a "I dunno" from the mint.
     
  9. statequarterguy

    statequarterguy Love Pucks

    Coin World or the mint or both wrong again. Coin World reported today (2/3/2014 issue) that sales of the 2013 Kennedy Halves soared this year to just about double the 2012 sales. However, this is not the case according to U.S. Mint reports. Yes, 2013 production almost doubled from 2012, but 2013 sales are still less than 2012, well below what the mint reports as produced. So, the real question is why so many 2013 halves produced when sales do not support this level of production?
     
  10. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Coin World gets the numbers they report direct from the mint. The mint says they update their web site numbers every week. So when the two do not jive you know one of them is wrong, just not which one.

    Best bet is to just wait until the following year when all of the numbers are adjusted for returns, lost shipments, etc. And then go by that.
     
  11. Endeavor

    Endeavor Well-Known Member

    You just did :p
     
  12. Endeavor

    Endeavor Well-Known Member

    Slow day at work today being a holiday. I am off to the book store to get me 2014 Red Book.
     
  13. statequarterguy

    statequarterguy Love Pucks

    Yep, that's the only option the mint gives, wait. I don't know though, seems it's gotten worse in recent years. Still waiting for reconciled 2012 Native American Dollar numbers, which are off more than usual and now the 2013 Kennedy numbers. Since the mint has "evolved" to targeting collectors and both of these coins are collector only issues, sure would be nice if they were accurate with mintages and sales, two of the most important numbers to collectors.
     
  14. onecenter

    onecenter Member

    Possibly the federal fiscal year has impact upon reporting. The 2013 Fiscal Year began October 1, 2012 and ended September 30, 2013. I also realize that minting of Kennedy halves tends to occur in just one month or possibly during slower periods in the US Mint's daily production schedule since the demand for this coin comes solely from the numismatic community.
     
  15. Endeavor

    Endeavor Well-Known Member

    Well, I got my 2014 Red Book today!

    2014 Red Book.jpg
     
  16. statequarterguy

    statequarterguy Love Pucks

    The fiscal year shouldn't have an affect on the weekly report, as the sales are update weekly and specific to the year and issue (i.e. 2013 Kennedy Halves or 2012 NA Dollars). If you were looking at the mint's fiscal year end income statement, the numbers would be off.

    Yes, early in the year it was reported that the mint made about 1.7m of each P&D. Toward the end of the year they updated the mintage by just about doubling it. One publication speculated that they actually made 2014's, gearing up for the anniversary set. But, the weekly report does say they are 2013's and apparently the mint told Coin World the increased mintage was due to increased sales, which aren’t there [in the weekly report].
     
    Last edited: Jan 21, 2014
  17. Phil Ham

    Phil Ham Hamster

    I was thinking that they sold a bunch of half's during the 50th anniversary of his assassination. It seemed to rekindle a lot of news and new books in the autumn of 2013 and may have inspired some sales. I'm unsure of the reason for the discrepancy in the SACs. It seems like they would know the exact amount of production (minted minus quality rejects during minting minus rejects after returns), and the exact amount of sales (sales minus returns). Every good business would have these systems in place and should be able to report them daily if not weekly.
     
  18. statequarterguy

    statequarterguy Love Pucks

    Definitely! Makes since for the Kennedy's, but the supposed sales are not reported in the mint's weekly sales reports.
     
  19. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Let me ask a different question, or two - what difference does it make what the weekly sales are ? And why would anyone care ?

    I mean really, the weekly numbers aren't going to change the outcome of anything. There is only 1 number that even could matter - the end number, the final number. And that is not going to be determined until it's all over. And even then that number isn't going to matter very much, if at all. Modern coins produced in the millions or even 1 million are never going to be rare or even scarce, at least not for a hundred years or so. And none of us is going to care then.
     
  20. statequarterguy

    statequarterguy Love Pucks

    Well, weekly numbers matter because they are indictors of a mintage that may be low or even the lowest (for the time being), which would give a temporary or permanent boost to the aftermarket price. They matter more toward the end of a program, as that's when one may want to stock up on that issue.

    For the 2012 NA Dollars, which are supposedly the final sales/mintages, they matter because at 1.7M sales each P&D, they would be the lowest Sac/NA Dollar, which is lower than the previous lowest 2008's which sell for around $100/roll, but at almost double that they are not worth stocking up on. The same scenario is true for the 2013 Kennedy's, 1.7M is a much lower mintage than more than double that.

    Regardless of whether one appreciates these coins/mintages, can't the mint be accurate in reporting sales/mintages? These days they are targeting collectors to support their operations. It's not like the old days, when the mint considered collectors a pain and preferred not to produce collector coins.
     
  21. mikenoodle

    mikenoodle The Village Idiot Supporter

    I love the link, SQG! Thanks for posting it!


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
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