Slabbing Moderns?

Discussion in 'Coin Chat' started by flintcreek6412, Jan 14, 2014.

  1. flintcreek6412

    flintcreek6412 Active Member

    I constantly hear the argument that XX coin is not worth slabbing because it's so expensive to send out TPG and the coin just isn't worth it. This kind of blows my mind when talking about coins like gold worth hundreds of dollars but it seems to be a prevailing opinion.

    My question is why all the slabbed moderns? I mean I see $1 Sacs slabbed and graded PF69 going for $1.04. That's 4c over face value. I see others sub $10 all day slabbed. If this is such an expensive luxury how is this happening? I've heard of bulk submissions but how many need to be submitted at what price? Just curious. Thanks.
     
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  3. sodude

    sodude Well-Known Member

    Anything under $10 is probably being sold at a loss, although the cost of bulk submissions by the modern coin retailers is confidential.
     
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  4. Prime Mover

    Prime Mover Active Member

    Dealers will send in hundreds of coins under bulk submission, hoping for a number of high grades on which they will make back their fees and their larger profits. I would assume some of these coins are also sent in simply to make the quota to get to the bulk submission level.

    What you see and are describing, are the "gravy". They technically sell for a loss compared to the cost of the grading, but they are still an overall profit for the dealer since he's already made the bulk of his profit on the higher grade coins.

    Personally, I'll buy those in the slab at those prices. Why? I like having my coins preserved in some type of plastic, whether TPG slab or my own 2x2 snaplock, so if it comes with a grade attached to it, eh, why not...
     
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  5. BUncirculated

    BUncirculated Well-Known Member

    The biggest, and in my opinion, the ONLY reason for submitting moderns, is hoping for the 70 label, along with all the other misleading marketing tools FIRST STRIKE, EARLY RELEASE, FIRST DAY OF ISSUE, etc.
     
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  6. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Yeah the gold coin may be worth hundreds of dollars. But if you took a hammer and beat into a ball shape - it would still be worth the same number of dollars. That's because the coin has no numismatic value, it only has metal content value. That's why it's not worth spending another $40 or more to have it graded. That $40 just increases your cost basis and adds nothing to the value of the coin.

    Grading never adds any value to a coin. All it does is make them easier to sell.

    Yes, as stated by others many of the coins you are talking about come to be from dealers making bulk submissions. But countless others come from dealers and private individuals sending in coins to be graded because they think the coin will get a 70 grade. But they are greatly disappointed when it is returned with a 69 or lower. At that point there's nothing they can do except to sell the coin at a loss and get whatever they can out of it. Even it's only a dollar or two.
     
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  7. kaosleeroy108

    kaosleeroy108 The Mahayana Tea Shop & hobby center

    point blank if you love the coin regardless submit it
     
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  8. BUncirculated

    BUncirculated Well-Known Member

    If it's something you plan on keeping in your collection and/or putting a registry set together I would agree with this.

    However, if it's something you're taking a gamble on to receive a 70 and other mentions on the label, which I listed in post # 4, hoping for a flip at a large profit, then I wouldn't recommend it.

    As Doug stated, a huge disappointment would be in your future if it comes back a 69 or less.
     
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  9. Silverhouse

    Silverhouse Well-Known Member

    I've bought slabbed modern ASE's mostly. Recently though I sold them in favor of older slabbed Barbers, and a nice toned key date Seated Liberty quarter. I also used to proceeds to help complete my Franklin, Kennedy, and Walker albums.
     
  10. Vegas Vic

    Vegas Vic Undermedicated psychiatric patient

    I agree that this should be the way things are but I disagree that it is the way things are. Perception of reality always seems to be more important then reality itself.

    Example given in the article is a dime that sells for auction for much higher price then before. The same coin went from ms67+fb pcgs to ms 68 fb pcgs. Same coin sold after the upgrade for almost 4x more. Same coin different pcgs label.
    http://www.coinworld.com/articles/the-difference-of-a-grade-point
     
    Last edited: Jan 15, 2014
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  11. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Pretty much all coins sell for more in the next highest grade, some of them for many multiples of the lower grade. That has nothing to do with the coin being worth more slabbed than it is raw - it has to do with the grade of a coin.

    What you have to realize is that knowledgeable people completely ignore whatever a slab says in regard to grade - regardless of whose slab it is. They look at the coin and only the coin and they assign their own grade, and then determine how much the coin is worth based on that. This method is known as - buy the coin, not the slab. And that is arguably the most often repeated advice you will ever get from people who know coins. It is also the best advice you will ever get.

    That said, yeah, there are people out there who think/believe that a slabbed coin is worth more than the same coin raw. But that does not mean that they are right. There are people out there who still think the earth is flat, and others who think that the earth is only 6,000 years old, but that does not mean they are right either.

    There are plastic buyers and there are coin buyers. And sadly, the plastic buyers greatly outnumber the coin buyers. They are also many of the ones who think that a coin slabbed is worth more than the same coin raw. And there are others who are simply misinformed who think the same.

    But let me ask you something. If a coin is worth more slabbed than it is raw, then why does the Grey Sheet, which is basically the coin dealer's bible, say that a given coin is worth the same amount raw or slabbed ?

    Knowledgeable people will pay no more for a coin slabbed than they would if it were raw. That is reality, a fact, not perception. The people who are suffering from perception, a mistaken perception, are those who think otherwise.
     
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  12. Silverhouse

    Silverhouse Well-Known Member


    I buy the coin not the slab. I have an 1898 NGC AU 55 Barber quarter, that to me could go a couple points higher, or even an MS 60. I think it was under graded. I also have an AU 55 1892 Barber quarter with a CAC sticker and to me it was over graded. I am no expert, but there is much more wear on the PCGS CAC example, than the 1898 NGC AU 55 example. I've been trying to take decent photos to post so the CT'ers can compare for themselves and chime in. Once I get some more time, I'll post them. In both instances I thought the price was right, at least to me. I feel I got a deal on the 1898, and the 1892. I didn't plan on buying a green bean, but it worked out that way.
     
  13. flintcreek6412

    flintcreek6412 Active Member

    While I agree with most of what you said, what do you think the real percentage of knowledgeable coin buyers are there? I would venture very few. You will obviously have your professionals, followed by very knowledgeable hobby buyers, then what I would consider the vast majority of recreational buyers which is where I would fall.

    I think slabs on historical coins are very helpful for a guy like me that cannot determine a cleaned from problem free coin. Or a step further a counterfeit. My buying opportunities(shops and shows) are few and far between so most of my buying is going to be internet. Slabs offer me confidence that I frankly won't have otherwise. But that is older and not modern coins.

    I'm OK on grade for circulated coins but even that is very subjective at time. Slabs help me with that confidence also. I hope to have the knowledge some day and by buying what I know are problem free coins I will eventually hope to learn and compare to others.

    As far as value being the same, if I was in possession of a raw common date coin and you had the same coin and grade with only different year but equally as common and they booked the same price but your was slabbed, would you trade it even up? Or what if my coin was actually a grade higher but only booked $5 more, would you trade even up for a slightly better raw coin?
     
  14. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    You are quite correct.

    I've often said that the TPGs are the best thing that ever happened to this hobby. So yes, of course they are helpful to a great many. But them being helpful doesn't have anything to do with the subject that I was talking about. There is a difference between slabs having value because they are helpful, and them making the coin inside more valuable. Books about coins have value because they are helpful. And if more people bought them, read them and studied them, they wouldn't need the TPGs or their slabs. But books don't make coins more valuable either.

    Yes of course to both questions, assuming I wanted the coins being offered. Why ? Because I started studying and learning about coins in 1960 and have been ever since. I have a numismatic library that rivals that of most any other private individual, and exceeds that of most professionals. And over the years I have bought and sold tens of thousands of coins. And looked at and examined millions more in person. Because of the knowledge I have gained over the course of virtually my entire life I have never once needed a TPG to tell me about a coin, and I have never once submitted even 1 coin to a TPG - because I never needed to. I could grade the coin accurately and correctly and tell if it was genuine by myself.

    Let me ask you something. If you went back to the day before a TPG opened its doors for business all of the coins had a given value, yes ? Well, if on the next day the TPG slabbed those coins did they automatically become more valuable ? No of course they didn't. The value didn't change a bit. And if on the 3rd day you took all of those coins back out of the slabs the value wouldn't change then either. That's because it's the coin that has value, not the plastic holder that it is in or the opinion regarding grade of the people who put it in that holder.

    Would it surprise you to learn that I can buy a given coin already slabbed by NGC or PCGS. Then I can crack that coin out of the holder so it is raw, offer it for sale to any of several dealers, and get more money than I paid for it ? I can, and I have done so many times. So if the slabbed coin had more value than it would were it raw - how could I possibly do that ?

    I can do it because when the coin is raw it is an unknown and the person I am offering to sell it to may think it would grade higher than the TPG had graded it. So based on their own opinion of the coin, they offer me more money than I paid for the coin.

    There are more than just a few people who do exactly what I just described and they make their living at it. And they make a very good living at it. And big companies like Heritage, Stacks, and any of the larger dealers, they have people they pay a lot of money to do it for them. This happens every single day, numerous times a day.

    A coin being slabbed does not increase the value of the coin, it just makes it easier to sell to people who don't know coins.
     
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  15. flintcreek6412

    flintcreek6412 Active Member

    Great information and insight. Thank you.
     
  16. Silverhouse

    Silverhouse Well-Known Member


    Your post was helpful. I bought slabbed BQ's and the like to help me learn how to grade. I don't have that many, but I too have experienced a coin shop purchasing a raw coin from me for more money, than when I took in the same coin months prior, slabbed. It was a 2012 NGC PF 70 Silver Kennedy. Slabbed he wanted to only ive me 15! Raw he took it for 30. This was before the sell out.
     
  17. Endeavor

    Endeavor Well-Known Member

    Awesome post.
     
  18. Atarian

    Atarian Well-Known Member

    Doesn't that by definition add value?

    What coin are we talking about? I think most modern gold coins are worth more than if they were beat into a ball shape. Probably why mints don't sell balls of gold? It may also be worth having it graded just for the peace of mind of knowing that the coin is real. A 70 grade would be a plus too. Honestly, would the average person pay the same price for say, an uncertified one ounce gold Mexican Onza compared to one graded PCGS MS69? Especially true if bought online, as a lot of coins are.
     
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  19. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    People will only believe what they want to believe, even when their belief differs from the truth. And they will argue and defend their belief rather than admit that they could possibly be wrong.

    It requires an open mind, humility, and wisdom to recognize truth when you see it, and then accept it. Especially when it is counter to what you previously thought was true.
     
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  20. BUncirculated

    BUncirculated Well-Known Member

    I think Wayne Miller said it best when he wrote the following in An Analysis of Morgan and Peace Dollars, and I'm quoting Bowers from his Guide Book of Morgan Silver Dollars:

    "The flaw in all grading systems is this: After one has assigned a numerical rating to a coin, embellished it with the grandest of adjectives, or compared it(always favorably) to other specimens of the same date, THE COIN IS STILL WHAT IT IS. Even the beginning collector will not accept a gem rating for a coin which is poorly struck, heavily abraded, or lackluster. Eventually the coin must be judged by it's own merits...
    No grading system, however inclusive in detail or excellent in design, should ever be substituted for common sense, or utilized as a crutch to avoid the seeking out of all the information necessary to learn how to grade coins accurately. NO GRADING SYSTEM WILL BE RELEVANT TO A PERSON UNTIL HE ACQUIRES SOME VERY BASIC DATA AND SKILLS."

    Bowers: "And yet, most buyers indeed grasp for crutches, and cannot exist without them, such crutches being the grades applied by others, however well intentioned."

    Basically what they're saying is regardless of the fancy holder and label the coin is in, in the long run, the coin is what it is.
     
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  21. hemi1500

    hemi1500 Member

    I was debating or not to send in 5 proof Lincoln sets,,4 coins each i think,,hoping to get a 70 on them on some of them
     
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