The pitfalls of market grading and very similar coins.

Discussion in 'US Coins Forum' started by Morgandude11, Dec 9, 2017.

  1. Morgandude11

    Morgandude11 As long as it's Silver, I'm listening

    Most of the time TPGs get it pretty accurately. Sometimes, they don't. I am going to post the 3 coins I received recently, in their slabs. One may immediately notice something, despite the difficulty of photographing brilliant Morgans accurately.

    I would have graded all three of these coins exactly the same. The surface preservation is almost identical, not in the location of bag marks, but in the amount and severity. All three have clean fields, and very significant reflectivity. The question is obviously. the degree of subjectivity. I will post what I would have graded all three after people make the comments. Please spare me the "It looks like a 62" type of comment, as none of them fall into that category, and none of the three are "AU coins." They're all about the same, but feel free to make comments about the market grading and discrepancies in the grade. This is an important exercise in grading, as we always discuss the accuracy of TPGs, and our ability to grade.

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  3. Kasia

    Kasia Got my learning hat on

    Not a type I usually look at, but honestly for the graded Morgans I have seen, they look better to me than MS64, since the faces are pleasant and I am not seeing distracting marks in the field. I don't know if the strikes are particularly less strong than desired, but my impression is a MS65. I hope I have not overgraded them.
     
  4. paddyman98

    paddyman98 I'm a professional expert in specializing! Supporter

    One of the problems I see with your comment is that these slabs are from 3 different times and 2 different TPG's.. so there will be discrepancies
     
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  5. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    To be honest it's all but impossible to estimate grade based on those pics. But regarding the differences in grade a lot can be accounted for by when those coins were graded as standards were quite different when each was graded.

    Had they all been graded at the same time, you could easily be right in grading them all the same - whatever that grade happens to be.
     
  6. Morgandude11

    Morgandude11 As long as it's Silver, I'm listening

    The pictures aren’t that bad. I could easily grade from them. The light was far from ideal, but I think it shows the similarity of the coins. They aren’t “presentation photos,” but pictures we often see online, and if we are interested in the coins, we have to be able to grade from that type of “quick and dirty” photos.
     
  7. physics-fan3.14

    physics-fan3.14 You got any more of them.... prooflikes?

    I disagree. These pictures are not useful for grading. If I saw an auction with these pics, I'd use them to verify there were no major eye appeal issues (huge spots, etc), but I'd trust that the TPG got it right. I would bid low, and I'd have low expectations. You can't grade from these - you can read a number on a slab.
     
  8. physics-fan3.14

    physics-fan3.14 You got any more of them.... prooflikes?

    However, to get this thread back in the direction that I think you intended:

    Comparing three separate coins is tricky, because each coin has its own unique traits. There is a very small difference between a 64 and a 65, in reality. The 65 might be a lower end 65; the 64 might be a higher end 64. These differences can be slight. I'm guessing that you are trying to talk about gradeflation, but we just can't see enough in those pictures to tell.

    As for the * vs. PL, that can be a difference in standards. NGC has the star available for coins that don't quite make it - PCGS doesn't. I've seen quite a few Stars that were resubmitted and got the PL, so that wouldn't surprise me at all. However, I've seen just as many people with a Star coin that thought it was fully PL, but wasn't.
     
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  9. ddoomm1

    ddoomm1 keep on running

    Awaiting the ever-elusive PCGS star!
     
  10. Blissskr

    Blissskr Well-Known Member


    How about using the original auction photos for comparison + NGC's photos on the last one? All these photos were available when making the buy determine on OP's end so shouldn't they be available for comparison if someone else is trying to make a determination (in this case grading) as well
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  11. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Dave I wasn't trying to find fault with your pics. But to be honest with you, when people ask me to look at coins for them and I see pics like that - I tell 'em I can't give an opinion of the coins because of the pics.

    But like I said, that's not what I was trying to do with my post. I was, more than anything, agreeing with what I thought you meant or were talking about based on the title of your thread. You refer to differences like that as market grading. I don't of course but I am aware that you do. So that's why I said what I said.
     
  12. Morgandude11

    Morgandude11 As long as it's Silver, I'm listening

    Gotcha. I think we are more on track. What I was getting at was inconsistency in grading, not necessarily in gross grading (is it MS or not.), but subtle differences in coins that could go either way, and if not outright market grading, then grading that is not nailing the finer points of coin grading. My point was that all three were so close that they should have been identically graded. They weren’t, and while it isn’t as catastrophic as the AU 58 versus MS 63 slider situation, it is kind of bizarre. In hand, the 3 are so close that I could not give them different grades. As far as what they deserve, I am sure that there will be a difference of opinion. I would have gone MS 65 PL for all 3, but that is, of course, open to dispute.
     
  13. physics-fan3.14

    physics-fan3.14 You got any more of them.... prooflikes?

    With these new pictures, the 65 is overgraded. They should all be 64.

    However, I do agree with the Star on the last one. That doesn't make PL.
     
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  14. Morgandude11

    Morgandude11 As long as it's Silver, I'm listening

    Which shows what I am trying to point out, as they all look right on at 65 in hand. I have seen enough PL Morgans in my life to know a 65 easily. The star one has the deepest cameo of all of them, and all 3 have 8” of reflectivity. Go figure.
     
  15. C-B-D

    C-B-D Well-Known Member

    The rattler is not PL, but is MS64.
    The 1885 PCGS is PL but not MS65.
    The NGC coin is accurately graded at 64. Got a star due to PL obverse and not reverse.
     
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  16. Kirkuleez

    Kirkuleez 80 proof

    I would call them all MS-64 (PL if they are all as reflective as you say), but I’ve always been partial to the old PCGS standards. PL was a terribly difficult designation to get in the rattler days.
     
  17. orifdoc

    orifdoc Well-Known Member

    If you think they're all about the same and you paid roughly the same for each of them who cares what the labels say?
     
  18. bsowa1029

    bsowa1029 Franklin Half Addict

    Not sure what your goal was with this post. They all look pretty much the same. From what little detail is discernible, they all look like 64s. Pretty hard to tell anything from those photos, though, the lighting is very bad and the focus is way off.
     
  19. TypeCoin971793

    TypeCoin971793 Just a random guy on the internet

    Says the guy who has the coins in hand.

    Those look like completely different coins when compared to the OP's pictures, which hide most of the marks.

    My opinions from the bad scans is that the 1898 O is MS-64, the 1885 is MS-64 PL, and the 1904 O is MS-63 (the horrible scans are probably making the marks look more severe than they are).
     
  20. kSigSteve

    kSigSteve Active Member

    I see them as:

    1898-O - 65
    1885 - 64PL
    1904-O - 63*
     
  21. Morgandude11

    Morgandude11 As long as it's Silver, I'm listening


    Sorry I posted this thread. Won’t make that mistake again. Some of you big shots should spend some quality time with PCGS photograde, and learn Morgan grading.
     
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