That is indeed the problem. Many refuse to believe that the TPG grading standards have changed at all. Some say that there was a change, a loosening of standards during or immediately after the first year of the TPGs existence. That would translate into sometime in 1987. But from 1987 until 1997 or early 1998 the TPG grading standards remained the same. This covers the period of what is known as the "old green holders". The OGHs ended at that time. And it is accepted, market wide, that their was loosening of TPG grading standards when the OGHs ended. This is acknowledged by the fact that everybody accepted that the coins in the OGHs were or would be automatically upgraded if re-submitted. And of course it also includes the coins found in the early NGC slabs. But the strange thing is, even though the entire coin market accepts this as fact, they still refuse to acknowledge or openly say that the TPGs "loosened" their grading standards at this time. After that, much of the market refuses to acknowledge that was any change in TPG grading standards at all. Yet other knowledgeable people claim the opposite, that there has indeed been a continuing loosening of grading standards. That there is still an ongoing loosening of grading standards. This idea is reinforced by the advent and huge success of CAC since 2007. But still much of the market refuses to acknowledge this. All of that said, there has never been a period since the advent of the TPGs where their grading standards have tightened. Not ever. Though some will claim otherwise.
Would it be fair to say that trying to use technical or market grading when determining value of a coin is like using the wrong formula to solve a math problem? Do new collectors need to be versed in "Value Grading" (is that copyrighted? ) as technical and market grading techniques are becoming obsolete?
Well that's kind of the problem in a nutshell. The TPGs, and much of the marketplace, use value to determine the grade of a coin. When it should be obvious, even intuitive, that it should be the other way around. That the grade of a coin should help determine the value, but yet not solely establish that value. A big part of value are the esoteric aspects of a coin, and that can only be determined by the individual considering buying the coin. This of course is even proven by one simply observing the realized prices for a coin in any given grade. Identical coins of the exact same grade routinely sell for double, triple, even 10 times as much as another of the exact same grade. Given that, how can it possibly be said that value determines grade ? But yet that is what most claim.
I'll take a "flawed" coin over your MS70's any day of the week, Doug. Haha! Check out the PCGS Coin Facts image of the famed Bearded Goddess. (I know, I know... to each his own), but IMO coins with die cracks and polish lines etc should absolutely not be considered inferior.
And that is exactly why they are not by the TPGs. They are a business, and the first and only goal of any business is to stay in business and be profitable. And they cannot do that without giving their customers what they want Once you realize that, it should then become obvious that they have no interest in correctly or accurately grading coins for both cannot be achieved.
Or maybe they're right in doing so. Ever seen Van Gogh's Starry Night? I did in NY. The paint on it is a half inch thick in a lot of areas. He really slapped it on there. There are little specks where it "splashed" here and there, you can see the individual hairs of the brushes he used, etc. It's flawed. And still it's the greatest painting I could imagine. I guess my point is, obsession over perfection can quickly take all the beauty out of life... and the enjoyment of it... and the hobby of coin collecting. Just my thought.
Doug is on his usual rampage about the TPGs changing the standards wildly, and manipulating the market sccordingly. Not all of us agree with this theory--- oh, there is SOME market grading, but many of us feel that it is more relegated to key coins, and conditional rarities. It is not as widespread as he contends.
Pretty sure he also painted that during a stint in a mental hospital. I feel like that is comparing apples and oranges. Coins are designed to be manufactured to certain specifications, where as any variations from those specs are technically flaws. A painting has no reference for comparison.
CBD the concept is pretty simple. A coin is designed a specific way, every little detail is supposed to be there, and there is not supposed to be anything else there but those details. The dies match that design exactly. When the die is new, and for the beginning part of it's life, it produces coins that look exactly as they are supposed to look. Now of there is something wrong in the machinery, like maybe the strike pressure is set too low or the dies are set too far apart, then the coins that are produced do not look like they are supposed to look according to design because they are weakly struck. Now I don't know of anybody who will argue that a weakly struck coin is the equal of a fully struck coin, assuming all other things are equal. The weakly struck coin simply cannot be graded as high as the fully struck example. The same logic follows in all other things. A coin struck on a flawed panchet cannot be graded as high as a coin struck on a planchet of good quality. In fact some coins struck on flawed planchets cannot even be graded at all. Therefore it must also follow that should the die become flawed by whatever then the coins struck by that flawed die cannot be equal to the coins the same die struck before it became flawed. If the die breaks and develops cracks then rather obviously the die is flawed, it is broken. If the die is scratched during the course of its normal use then the die is flawed. All dies are polished in the beginning, but have you ever seen die polish lines on a coin struck with new dies ? No. Why ? Because there are not supposed to be any die polish lines visible, they are all polished way when the polishing is done correctly. So if die polish lines are visible on the die and its subsequent coins then it is because the die was not re-polished correctly because somebody screwed up, thus the die is flawed. These are all the very definitions of flaws, mistakes, screw ups. So can any coin struck with flawed dies be the equal of a coin struck with unflawed dies ? It's just basic common sense, they cannot be. Now are there people (collectors) who wish that not to be so ? Rather obviously, you claim to be one yourself. So what do the TPGs do ? They give you what you want and they grade the flawed coins as if the flaws were not even there. That is their business, it is what they do. And people consciously choose to believe it does not matter because they don't want it to matter. They want their flawed coins graded just as high as the unflawed coins. In spite of the fact that plain, basic common sense says they cannot be.
Those flaws, mistakes and screw ups you describe are inherent to the process though. They are flaws, mistakes and screw ups that they consciously decide not to eliminate.
I still think I have common sense, Doug. I just see coins as a human-created work of art, and we humans are flawed.
But if they strictly go for revenue/$$$ maximization, they risk ruining their business in the long run as their business model -- grading coins -- becomes worthless. Do you think that as the number of quality coins for certain types -- i.e., 1907 EHR Saint-Gaudens (only 1 PR-69) -- did NOT increase over recent decades, the graders became a bit more 'forgiving' realizing that while a 100-year old coin could not get an MS-70, 2 or 3 nicks visible under a 5x lens doesn't deserve to knock it down to an MS-68 or even MS-67 ? I know I'm entering the subjective and relative here, but it's got to be at least on a grader's SUBCONSCIOUS. And maybe that's the problem -- these guys haven't 'loosened' standards so much or sold out the Sheldon Scale for $$$....what's happened is they've sort of blended technical and market grading. And maybe not deliberately. Plus, they realize for some coins there are no secret hoards coming across the Atlantic or up from South America that will give us dozens or hundreds of more rare coins where now there might be only 1-20 (i.e., super-rate Morgans or Saint-Gaudens).
That's actually a valid criticism, in my opinion, but for monkey grading, I mean, market grading. The ANA made monkeys out of us, I mean, made a market for the TPGs out of us. When I look at the ANA and think of these monkey grading, I mean, market grading standards, I think, "plausible deniability," that's where the ANA fits in. Who do we think was in the room, coin collectors? These TPGs and CAC are the ANA. It's like the FDA regulating the pharmaceutical industry for the benefit of the public. Yeah, that's what happens.
Good point with some DEEP thoughts. But a painting is an individual and unique undertaking...no 2 paintings, even by the same guy/gal, are alike. But coins are generally struck mechanically and theoretically identical. While some coins may have unique -- and desirable characteristics -- nobody wants a poorly-struck Saint or Morgan where the face is blurry and blobby.
Theorectically identical is just that...theoretical. No two coins are alike due to the inherent falability of the mechanics and of the humans responsible for quality control. There is absolutely no intent that every coin be identical or even indistiguishably identical to each other. It would be enormously too expensive for such a thing to be achieved and they know it and they choose not to attempt it.
Isn't that why there are ten available grades that can be given to a mint state coin? It's not a pass or fail grade so I don't understand your point?
Yeah these flaws are inherent to the process and I have no problem at all with grading such coins. But that doesn't answer the question - can 2 examples of the same coin equal in all ways except, one with the flaws and one without, be graded the same ? Oh I have no problem agreeing that we humans are flawed. Or that we make mistakes all the time. But yet when we judge the quality of anything we make the things without flaws are always judged to be of higher quality than those with flaws. So why should coins be any different ? I'm sorry but saying that coins are different flies in the face of all logic.