Grading Kennedy's...for Grade and/or Cameo

Discussion in 'US Coins Forum' started by Ethan, Apr 30, 2014.

  1. Ethan

    Ethan Collector of Kennedy's

    Well let me start by saying I have two copies of ANA Grading Standards and a new Making the Grade book. I have struggled with this. It is not that I do not know the difference between a VG, VF, EF, AU, and MS. That part is easy, but in most cases the MS60/PR60 -- MS70/PR70 is where it gets tricky. These are just plain hard to grade. I mean years like the 84 are weak strikes as are the 83's. I have found 89's that are awesome.

    So reading the ANA and 1 or 2 bag marks etc cost a grade. So I look at my coin with the naked eye and start at 70, count the dings, and work backwards etc. This doesn't seem to realistic to me.

    Here is an example:

    [​IMG]

    I thought this was a MS64 at least, but posting on another board I learned real quick that is was not..


    Pictures can sometimes tell all, so here is the same coin with a different picture,

    [​IMG]

    Notice the scratches are all over it, lucky to get a MS62. So I bought some slabbed ones both MS and PR of different grades etc. I have a 98D in MS67, I have proof 64's in PR67 & PR68.


    The problem is I can not tell the difference between the 67 & 68. I know this is a acquired skill and I have bought what material I can but I need more resources to grade these.. Links or descriptions or something of that nature.

    Here is a few examples that I would like to get a good estimate of grade on, I am sure they are all Cameo some maybe even DCAM:

    First a 64 Proof, that happens to have a DDO error,

    [​IMG]

    And a close up,

    [​IMG]

    My guess is around a PR66/67. No dings to speak of so how to I count what I do see. Do hairlines only count at 4X or what about 10X.


    Next up is my Accented Hair that appeared in another thread. It is Cameo, of that I am sure with a small possibility of getting DCAM and I will explain that one later in the thread.

    [​IMG]

    And a close up or two..

    [​IMG]

    [​IMG]

    I sure hope it can make PR67 but it looks like it will go PR66 as there is a ding on the neck and some milk stain on the reverse. I am not sure how much they count but that was the prevailing opinion on another board.


    So I use these proofs and I have a few slabbed, some even in DCAM from 68-70 to gauge what I have as far as cameo etc. I can see imperfections on the slabbed ones also, even the 1969 - PR69 DCAM. I just have a hard time telling once you get to MS/PR65 and up, what differentiates the grade at that point?

    So, we move to non proofs but yet better then MS. I am talking the SMS sets. These are the hardest to get in Cameo and to grade is even harder as they all have bag marks to some degree. I recently purchased a half that is not slabbed but the guy I bought it off of 'knows' cameo's and knows the slabbing game. I had bought a few smaller ones to get an idea and I grew to trust him and his judgement. I sent him on a mission to find me a 1965 DCAM obverse but with a CAM reverse. Why you ask? I could not afford the whole package. Well it took three weeks but he found it. What I was told is SP67 CAMEO STAR from NGC is what it should slab at. I look at this 65 and the frost blows me away on any other 65 I have bar none. It is just spectacular!

    [​IMG]

    And a close up,

    [​IMG]

    Now the pictures do not do justice to the Cameo on this one, you will just have to believe me. The back is not near as good as the obverse for sure but it is Cameo. This is a stunner and exactly what I wanted. Just how to I grade it? I know it is better than SP65, but SP66 or SP67? I just do not know for sure. I do know however now that I have this in hand. I went back through some of my other items and pulled the best of the best and I found a 67 that is even better on Obverse and Reverse. It is a DCAM for sure I think and the grade? Well I sure hope it will get a SP67 as it has very few marks and the eye appeal is awesome. Both of these SMS coins look like proofs, which is why I wanted them. Here is the 67,

    [​IMG]

    And closer,

    [​IMG]



    So there is my question in a sense. I have slabbed SP66 CAM's and these are as good if not better to my eye but I might be biased. I have slabbed 64 proofs in PR65/66 CAM and my 64's are close. I have a slabbed AH in PR67 and I think the one above is as good if not better yet it is Cameo for sure.

    Does anyone have any links to specific information on grading Kennedy's especially in mint or proof state? Is there a resource out there to help with these types? I have a few and in the higher grades I can not just look for obvious signs.

    What are your opinions on this?

    Thanks for reading...
     
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  3. John Anthony

    John Anthony Ultracrepidarian

    I spent a year collecting Kennedy half dollars, raw and slabbed, and came to the conclusion that each coin had to be assessed on an issue by issue basis. You have a series which includes a number of different metal compositions and finishes, and changes stemming from the evolution of minting technology over the course of fifty years. Grading the series involves a large number of variables.

    I eventually gave up on the MS and PR point system because I found it was rife with inconsistencies, at least among the PCGS-graded coins I collected. In fact, collecting these coins is what spurred me to largely reject any sort of value to grades issued by TPG's.
     
  4. Ethan

    Ethan Collector of Kennedy's

    I tend to agree with you on the TPG's. I ran into some NGC 1964 Business strikes this weekend and I asked about the price and I bought them. I got 3 MS64's for $10 each, and 1 MS63 for $9, and 1 AU-58 for $8. I think I did ok as I want to use them to grade what I have from many years ago but it is all subjective once you pass MS65 which is my struggle.

    Thanks for the reply...
     
  5. John Anthony

    John Anthony Ultracrepidarian

    Let me give you an example.

    In the early 70's, the mint was struggling with the technology to properly strike up copper-nickel clad coins. It was a new medium. In addition to that, the presses in Philadelphia were weaker than those of Denver, so in general, 1971D coins are better struck than 71P's. So you might find a weakly-struck 71P in holder that says MS64, to pick a random grade. That coin will have weak features, with considerable planchet chatter at the edges, but decent luster.

    Now fast-forward to the 80's, wherein the striking technology is improved, so you have a coin with strong devices and equally strong luster. But let's throw in the variable of contact marks. Suppose this coin got jostled around a bit, and a grader thought, "nice coin...could be a 66, but the bag marks pull it down to 64."

    Now you have the mystified collector looking at two coins, scratching his head. Each are graded at 64 but look very different.
     
  6. Ethan

    Ethan Collector of Kennedy's

    That is a very good example. I see 10X the 71D's in MS65 that I do 71P's, same for 72's, 73's and 74's. My idea of getting slabs for comparing has not worked out as planned.
     
  7. John Anthony

    John Anthony Ultracrepidarian

    I don't regret all the PCGS Kennedy slabs I bought at all - at one point I had about thirty in a registry set, spanning their whole history. It was a great way to learn about the series, which is one of the richest and most varied in US mint history.

    But when it comes to grading, you're really talking about a bunch of different coins that happen to share similar devices. The 64 circulation strikes can't be compared to the 60% silver clad issues, which can't be compared to the early copper-nickel clad issues, which can't be compared to the later cu-ni clad issues, which can't be compared to low-relief issues of the 90's, which can't be compared to the current SP collector issues.

    Then you've got all the proofs, which also have to be considered on a year-to-year basis as the technology improves and you get stronger and stronger cameos over the decades, and none of those can be compared to the SMS issues of the 60's. Throw in the bicentennial reverse for an additional type, and what you've got is not just a case of apples and oranges, but apples, oranges, grapes, bananas, kiwi, watermelon, cantaloupe, etc., etc.

    When it came to comparing MS and PR coins, I found for myself, that three states sufficed: low, middle, and high. Trying to discern the difference between a 65 and 66 was too tedious for my collecting tastes, and anyway, I preferred my coins raw.

    AND...I found so many coins graded PR69 or PR70 that could have gone one way or another, that I altogether stopped paying high premiums for coins graded 70.
     
  8. John Anthony

    John Anthony Ultracrepidarian

    I should add that your coins are obviously not graded by PCGS - those are just homemade slabs that somebody put a grade on. That's not a criticism - if you send your coins to PCGS, you get exactly the same thing for a lot more money: one person's opinion of the grade.
     
  9. Morgandude11

    Morgandude11 As long as it's Silver, I'm listening

    I don't agree with any of your grades, nor are your opinions reflective of the Kennedy Half market. I own the entire set in Dansco, and many slabbed better dates, and think that your grading and self-slabbing is wildly inaccurate. You are under grading coins and overgrading others wildly. The pictures you have taken do not reflect any information from which to grade--they are blurry, imprecise, and are poor exposures. I don't consider this a Kennedy learning thread. Take better pictures before you use them as illustrative examples.
     
  10. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    But that is only in the highest grades. Once you get to 67 that all changes. And there are other criteria involved besides contact marks. Coins are graded based on all criteria, not just one or two of them. But it is possible for just one or two to limit the grade. As a grader you have to understand this and be able to discern when it applies and when it does not. That's a large part of the reason so many people have such a hard time telling one grade from another, because they don't understand it.

    The ANA book is in my opinion the best place to start, but it is only a start. Once you have studied and learned what is in the book you then have to study thousands and thousands of coins to learn how to properly apply the principles you learned from the book.

    And using a coin or two graded and slabbed by the TPGs doesn't help, in fact it hurts you. What you need to do is look at hundreds of a given coin, all graded the same grade by the same TPG, and compare them to each other. You will see what appear to be huge differences in the coins even though all of them are graded exactly the same.

    Only then can you begin to grasp and understand the principles that you learned from the ANA book. Only then will it make sense. Only then will you finally be learning how to grade accurately and correctly.
     
  11. Ethan

    Ethan Collector of Kennedy's


    Yes these are my slabs that I put them in. I don't see the advantage of getting TPG grades as I am not selling them.
     
  12. Ethan

    Ethan Collector of Kennedy's

    Ok I can see your position. My grades are my opinions and I understand that. I come to these grades by using TPG slabs to compare with. I also have sets in Whitman folders that I have pulled from roll hunting, I have 6 of them now and most are all Au/Bu coins. When I find one better, the other is tossed out. The self slabbing is for my purpose and preservation of the coins. I did have them in 2x2's but these are the better ones and go in a different box.

    Under-grading! Wow that is a sure surprise as I can see me over-grading but not under. Which one is under?

    Ah the pictures, yeah I know and I just have to get better at taking them. I have found that getting the cameo right in a picture is darn near impossible with my cameras, but I still try.

    If you understood what I was asking in this thread is that I am asking for help, not educating anyone as I am learning, hence the reason for this thread.
     
  13. Morgandude11

    Morgandude11 As long as it's Silver, I'm listening

    I see an advantage, as your grades are all over the place. You need to learn to grade Kennedys appropriately, given not only ANA standards, but the market standards. I don't see one coin accurately graded that you've posted. I disagree with Doug's constant condemnation of the TPGs in terms of grading standards, and learning to grade from them. They're the market nowadays, not raw coins. Doug insists on his standards being accurate, and most of us think him to be 2 and sometimes 3 grades lower than established standards, not only ANA, but MARKET value.

    Ethan, if you want help, first take better pictures. You need accurate pictures for others to be able to see the coin as it really is--or at least as close to reality (the only absolute reality is in hand). What kind of a camera are you using? Moreover, obverse only photos are useless, as a coin grades by both sides of the coin. The weaker side determines grade.

    I have no trouble taking pictures of coins. You need a quality camera, and a good light source. Out of focus photos are a function of not locking in the autofocus--that is pretty simple to correct. You need a nice, surround lighting that illuminates the coin evenly, and an appropriate distance from the coin to be able to get a good photograph. A camera with good macro function is a huge help.
     
    Last edited: May 1, 2014
  14. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Not established standards Dave, current standards. Or if you prefer, standards that are currently being accepted because that is what the TPG says it is at the present time. Established standards are those written in the books and published.

    But you see that's the part that bothers me. Established standards are ignored, if the TPG says this, then that is good enough purely because it was the TPG who said it.

    That's what I have a problem with. And it is not just me who thinks that way.
     
  15. Morgandude11

    Morgandude11 As long as it's Silver, I'm listening

    Doug, most people disagree with you. Just because you are more harsh doesn't make you right. Moreover, if standards have changed as much as you say they have (I disagree that they have), it doesn't matter, as the established market standard is what rules the hobby, not someone's opinion. It controls price, marketability, and value , especially in arms length, unseen transactions, that are more the rule than the exception nowadays.
     
  16. Ethan

    Ethan Collector of Kennedy's

    Thank you, that is good information and basically makes sense as to why I just do not get it so to speak.
     
  17. Ethan

    Ethan Collector of Kennedy's

    I know I need to learn, and that is exactly what I am trying to do. So if my grades are all wrong then I assume that the are too high. The 65, I was told the grade by someone I trust, even if wrong it would be a Sp66.

    A Nikon that I bought for around $150 a year ago. When I get home I will post the model if needed. I did not post reverses as I am trying one side first. I realize the grade counts for both sides but lets be honest, the obverse will count more towards a grade. Plus on the Kennedy's the reverse is usually better anyway as long as the eagles wings are ok.


    Well I have a macro function and I can NOT disable the auto focus as I have tried. I guess I need to get a new one and I just might. At times it takes great ones but it is a crap shoot. This one turned out very well.
    [​IMG]
     
  18. Morgandude11

    Morgandude11 As long as it's Silver, I'm listening

    That is far better, but it still has a reflection off of the fields. You need to turn off the flash, and have good surround lighting. DO NOT turn off the autofocus--just focus lock on the details of the coin, and adjust focal distance.
     
  19. Ethan

    Ethan Collector of Kennedy's

    No flash with that shot....Its an auto camera, can't manually do crap with it.
     
  20. Morgandude11

    Morgandude11 As long as it's Silver, I'm listening

    Get a decent pocket camera. The Canon SX280 is great for a pocket camera, with lots of features and is inexpensive. It has fabulous image quality for a small pocket, and is a powerhouse for its price. I use Leicas primarily, and a high end Lumix mirror less, and a Canon DSLR, but you don't need that level of equipment---the Canon is terrific for that purpose, and is about $200 now, as they have a new model.
     
  21. GDJMSP

    GDJMSP Numismatist Moderator

    Doesn't make me wrong either.

    Does it ? I mean you claim the grades assigned by the TPGs rules the hobby ? But does it really ? What happens when people who buy lots of coins, and I mean millions of dollars worth of coins, disagree with the TPG grades ? I'll tell you what happens, they don't buy them.

    But yeah, I agree with you, there are a whole lot more plastic buyers out there than there are coin buyers. But that doesn't mean the plastic buyers are right, it just means they are foolish.

    Now you're gonna ask me who agrees with me. Well, lemme give you some examples.

    Greg Reynolds -
    I am not implying that all such certified coins are accurately graded or are fairly graded. Indeed, there are plenty of PCGS or NGC certified coins that have been mistakenly graded even though they have been doctored or are otherwise seriously problematic. Further, there are many PCGS or NGC certified coins that have been mistakenly overgraded in the views of most relevant experts. ........................

    I wish that it was practical to discuss all of the Indian Head Eagles in the “Bentley Shores Collection.” Even some of the coins that most experts would regard as being overgraded were very attractive. ...............................

    I am not implying that all PCGS or NGC certified coins are desirable. I have seen PCGS and NGC certified coins that are terrible.

    I am insisting that, for U.S. coins valued over $250 each, only PCGS or NGC certified coins should be considered. Of course, each collector should reject some PCGS or NGC certified coins and accept others. On average, though not always, I find CAC approved coins to be more desirable than PCGS or NGC certified coins that are not CAC approved. It is important, however, to not make generalizations and to evaluate each coin as an individual, in my view. Collectors should learn at least a little about coin grading and should often ask questions of experts. .......................

    In several recent articles, especially in one that I wrote during the winter on grading issues, I have emphasized that there has been a growing trend since 2009 for bidders to look past the certified grades and adjust their bids based on an interpretation of the underlying grade of the coin, even when the ‘true’ grade is less than the certified grade. So, a coin that is PCGS or NGC certified as grading 66, for example, will now often bring an amount of money associated with a 65 grade for the respective coin, especially if several leading experts regard the true grade as 65.

    Of course, it is not always true that an auction result will be determined by an underlying true grade. Even if a 65 grade coin is PCGS certified as grading 67, perhaps after being PCGS graded 65 on twenty previous occasions, there will often be bidders who believe the 67 grade or accept it for other reasons, sometimes for registry sets or investment purposes. The ‘so called’ plastic premiums, the extra funds for coins that are overgraded or controversially graded, have gone down dramatically since 2009, on average. In another words, the ‘plastic premiums’ are much less, on average (though not always), in 2012 than such premiums were from 2003 to 2008. ........................


    Doug Winters -
    Another factor is grading: many examples are conspicuously overgraded and few are choice and original. ...............................

    ....... but this is partly due to the fact that many of the EF and AU examples which appear for sale are grossly overgraded and have problems. ............................


    I thought that grading was decent but unspectacular in 2011. I still see coins in new holders that are doctored and some that seem so blatantly so that it makes me scratch my head and ask “how did they ever miss that?” But the level of consistency that I experienced, personally, in 2011, from both PCGS and NGC was pretty impressive. I think something that everyone has to remember is that you usually don’t see the coins that are undergraded or even properly graded in dealer’s inventories or in auctions. Those coins are easy to sell and they get placed with good clients. What you usually see are the overgraded coins that are “hits” for the submitters.

    I was intrigued by PCGS’ Secure Plus service when it was first announced but have been pretty underwhelmed so far. It doesn’t seem to have much of a foothold in the market and some of the coins I’ve seen in Secure Plus holders are merely overgraded/doctored coins that were re-packaged by submitters to make them seem “fresh.” ............................

    I’d choose from the following sorts of coins: accurately graded “Gem slider” 18th century silver type (most AU58 early type is way overgraded and seldom original), ...........

    Today there an estimated 100-125 known with most in the EF40 to AU50 range. The best that I have seen are two or three that I grade AU58; most of the coins in AU55 and AU58 holders, in my opinion, are overgraded. ................................



    Laura Sperber -
    (on mint products) - I have NEVER EVER been a fan of the Mint. It’s all exploited marketing. Yeah, maybe in 50 years this stuff will be something. Today to me, its hyped overpriced and overgraded (how the heck is everything 69 or 70) junk. ............

    It was sickening for us to continually walk the bourse floor and see so many tables of “big name” dealers hawking pure dreck (KNOW THE TERM-it is NOT inexpensive or collector coins-it is doctored or OVERgraded crap). ........................

    Prices are definitely firming now for “better” coins. The dreck (LOW END, UGLY, or OVERGRADED) is FINALLY going away. Now dealer cases just have smaller inventories, not a bunch of unsightly garbage. A year ago, dreck was just starting to crash and it looked like good coins were moving up in price when they were actually frozen. Now that dreck has established itself was being worth only a fraction, the better coins have actually started to rise in price. .....................



    Now these are just a few comments, by recognized and respected experts, that I took the time to dig up and post, published in the last couple of years. There are plenty more and by many others besides these. Anybody who wants can find article after article similar to the excerpts that I have posted. And they can do so going back for years.

    As I said, I am not alone in my thinking. But yeah, there are plenty plastic buyers out there who think it anathema to dare disagree with the TPGs in regard to their grading. They seem to think that just because the majority of the public chooses not doubt them and their grading that the TPG grading must be right or correct.

    Well, these are examples of people who know what they are doing and do not agree with them at all. So maybe Dave, just maybe, I am right after all ;)
     
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