Back to the OP if I could interrupt for a sec. I was curious about ANACS slabbing mint sets as SP. I thought maybe that they were giving that designation if the coins were submitted in the OGPs. So I called them and asked and according to the gent I spoke to they are not calling mint set coins SPs anymore. When I told him that somebody had seen them on tv being sold as such, his comment was "oh, it must have been one of the other departments that made a special deal." So apparently their designations are for sale.
But that's my point, it was not just the appearance high grades being assigned to the satin finish coins. Those high grades were also being suddenly being applied to the coins struck in previous years. In early 2004 you could find maybe a handful across the entire spectrum (excluding bullion, Proofs, and commems) that were graded 69. But in 2005 those 69's started showing up. And in the years that followed they continued to show up. Go look and see how many 69's there are now. And the only possible, reasonable explanation for that would be that they changed their standards. You're right, it's not the holder. It's PCGS themselves. The OGH was used for about 7 years - 1991-1998. And it was in 1998 that PCGS changed their standards. The OGH is merely a tool used for tracking that change because they stopped using them in the same year. And you can count me among them. I have said the same thing many times. Of course it can vary from grader to grader, and it does. But if you think that the graders come into the company and get use their own personal grading standards you are mistaken. The graders are told by the TPG what grading standards they will use, and they have no choice but to use them. That's why the TPGs use the system they do. Multiple graders (2 or 3 depending on which company it is) have to assign a grade to a coin, and they have to agree on that grade. Then the coin is sent to a finalizer. If the finalizer does not agree with the assigned grade he sends it back to the graders until they assign a grade that meets the standards used by the TPG. This will continue until the graders and the finalizer agree on that assigned grade. I also agree with this. I am referring to all bullion coins, all Proof coins, and all commem coins. You say that you think changes in grading take place over a long period of time, that it is gradual. Well, that didn't happen with these. It happened overnight because PCGS changed their standards. As I said, prior to that change, finding even one of these coins in a 70 slab was a rarity. But finding a 70 went from being a rarity to a preponderance of 70's literally overnight. As soon as that change was made the percentage of coins being graded 70 jumped from a fraction of 1% to as high as 86% of all submissions of that given coin being graded a 70. If it was just the satin finish coins that were suddenly being assigned the higher grades, I'd probably even agree with you. But it wasn't, and it still isn't. The higher grades are also being assigned to coins dated before 2005. And those grades did not start being assigned until 2005. Go look at the pops, they tell the story.
Well the 2001 coins are not SP (specimen, or SMS) any more because they are no longer satin finish. Are you sure the ones on TV were 2011 coins ? Because if they weren't, that would explain the SP.
I agree that grading standards can change over time. As is evidenced by your story of the change in grading on non-circulation coins as Proof 70 or MS70 (for commems and bullion). BUT, I don't agree with you that in 2005 something happened that loosened standards in general for grading circulation and mint set U.S. coins. The evidence in the series I know best (the SAC dollars) simply doesn't support that "observation". Indeed, more than 90% of all of the MS69 graded coins from 2000-2003 were graded by the end of 2004. The populations reflected this at that time. If what you claim were true, then I would expect a large influx of MS69 graded coins starting in 2005 for these older years, and that's simply not the case for the SAC series. I base my opinions on evidence, not on "gut feel" or coin forum rants. ------------------------------------------ There are several things that may be muddying one's ability to assess the change clearly. Firstly, "making" top population coins has become a livelihood for some. For example, for ultra modern coins, Mark DiLauro (datentype on eBay) is phenomenal at cherry picking superb coins and making top population coins. The point being, just because Mark can find an MS69RD 1992 Lincoln in 2011, doesn't mean that it's over graded...it simply means he came across it. One cannot infer a causal link between the time it was graded and the grade received without a LOT of hand waving. Second, other approaches have come into use that also yield higher numbers of ultra-high grade coins (mass submissions of onced-over mint sets, which is the method I believe John Maben Rare Coins uses -- moderncoinmart.com online). More coins graded leads to more ultra-high grade examples (assuming they exist at all). Lastly, because the US Mint is not very forthcoming with the details of improvements to the minting processes, it is simply not the case that a circulation strike coin from the mid-1980s is the same beast as a circulation strike coin from 2011. Think Jefferson Nickels. In some of the 1980s years, full steps are the exception and quite rare. In 2011 finding a nickel in a mint set without full steps is the exception -- and if it doesn't quality it is usually because of a nick or bag mark, not because the design is mushy. 1881-S and 1880-S were good years for Morgan dollars. Ask any collector, they will agree. This is reflected by their abundance of high graded examples. Well, 2005 was a good year for Lincoln Cents (business strike). Ask any serious collector and they will agree. This is reflected by their abundance of high graded examples. A combination of the issues above can explain both an increase in post-2005 coins grading MS69, but can also explain why you feel some of the pre-2005 years now have an "abundance" of MS69 examples (which were graded post-2005). For some "data", consider that NGC has graded 50,555 Lincoln Cents dated 1959-1999. Of those, a total of 47 coins have been given the MS69 grade. Unless you know of someone who has been tracking the NGC pops for the past 20 years, there is no way to determine when those 47 coins were assigned their grades. But, in my mind less than one coin in 1000 submitted attaining the MS69 grade for modern issues isn't really outside the realm of possibility. For comparison, 1 in every 500 of the 1880-S Morgan $1 grades MS68 or better. In summary, this topic has been beaten to death by the two of us. I do collect coins in this time frame, and I have been for many years. I have dozens of coins graded both before and after 2005, and there is nothing in my mind that stands out as a "difference" between them. I have specific evidence from the SAC $1 series, which actually doesn't fit at all your argument. In short, we will have to agree to disagree that 2005 was some "special" anchor year in the loosening of grading standards.
What do you guys think about the grading standards more recently? (2009-2011 on the business strikes)
I am quite positive Doug. These were 2011 coins in ANACS SP graded holders. That was what prompted this whole thread. I was wondering if this was an ANACS (for sale) thing, or if all TPGs were grading Mint Set coins as SMS, because all of the Mint Set coins seem to have a regular circulation finish.
i got curious about this i went to hsn network then to coins then sp and they are there sp68 28 piece set
$399.95 (you save $50) for the 28 piece set. You can watch the video too, they probably talk about the special finish.
Then I don't know Mike, or rather can't say with any degree of certainty. Maybe they just screwed up, or maybe they did it on purpose. Who knows. Yes, ANACS will absolutely create labels for large submitters, sometimes even small submitters. But NGC and PCGS will do the very same thing. But I have never seen them do it when it comes to a coin type, and that's what SP is, a type. Of course, and I've discussed this before, it's (SP) not an accurate type for the satin finish coins. And it's most definitely not an accurate type for the 2011 Mint Set coins. A specimen coin is one that is struck to be used for approval purposes. They, specimens, are different from patterns even. Patterns are struck when they are trying to decide which way to go or what design to use. Specimens are struck after the pattern has been chosen, but before the production runs begin. They are struck and used to make sure the design really will work during the production runs. And no specimens are not test strikes either. Test strikes are the very first coins struck that are part of the actual production run. And they are struck merely to make sure that the presses are adjusted correctly. A whole lot of people get all these terms mixed up and use them incorrectly. And like I said before, I believe PCGS used SP for the satin finish coins just so they could be different than NGC. Those two companies, I swear, sometimes they'd rather be wrong about something than they would to admit the other guy was right. As for SMS (special mint set), yes that is the correct designation for the satin finish coins. It was used to set them apart from all of the previous years of Mint Set coins, because they were different. It's the same reason the '65, '66, and '67 coins were called SMS, they were different, they were special. And the term was coined specifically for them. It had never been used before that, didn't exist before that. Later, other special coins were minted that are and should be called SMS. The two matte finish nickels are SMS coins. And it was they came out that PCGS decided they had to be different from NGC and started using SP - an incorrect term for the coin involved.
I do, me. I used to track both the NGC and PCGS pops. I still do, but to a lesser degree than I used to. But ya know what, you can too. All you have to do is look at the old Heritage auction records and go by the date of the auction. It tells you how many were graded higher, and when that was. But you're right, the horse is dead. I'll stop.
i just want to say that they are in sp holders but i dont belive they are satin finish coins but that is just my thinking
I just watched the video. The host said it was a satin finish, the expert described them as a special brilliant finish only available in the Mint Set coins.
that was my whole point, Doug. It basically puts in neon the fact that ANACS will slab to suit large submitters. I understand what you've said about special labels, but that's not what these are. These are a strike designation. I guess the real trick would be to crack one out and re-submit it. See if it comes back with a Specimen grade or an MS grade. But that would only be worth it if ANACS certification of these coins was worth something in the marketplace, which it isn't.
Go to the HSN website, search sp68. When you get to the product page, there is a link to the video on the left side just under the fancy box the coins come in.