What do you all think are some coins that have been minted recently, in the last decade or so, that can be picked out of circulation that may be key dates in the future?
Most of the '09's are going to be like the '50-D nickel... preserved en masse and common in high grade.
Look at the 1883 nickel. It is proof that coins that everyone believes will be collectible won't be. Its those things that no one saves since "they will never be worth anything" that proves to be valuable. The only exceptions are extremely tiny mintage items like 1909 SF cents. Those at the time were known to be worth saving. Also, its always Demand that makes something relatively rare. I have some ancient coins that there may only be 10 of and they are worth $40. Demand makes keys, not mintages or absolute rarity.
Everybody hoarded cents from 1909 because they thought they would be special... and they're right, to an extent. Especially the SVDB... not an uncommon coin in mint state at all.
Depends on how many survive, no? I hear modern cents are dissolving in the ground, so they might be somewhat scarcer in the future than you think. If it were not for buried coins, there would probably be 100 Roman coins in existence.
Almost any nice choice unc to gem coins from '05 to '10 should be winners since mint sets are SF. I'd pay especial attention to dimes and halfs.
I have to disagree. We already used the 09 S VDB cent as an example here, and it's a good one. It's without a doubt in more demand than any other US minted cent. But it's by far nowhere near being a rare coin. I can find an example in every single coin show and every coin shop anywhere in the country on any day of the week. Thats not a definition of rare. Rare is one of your Roman coins with fewer than a dozen in existence. Price doesn't determine rarity and vise-versa. Guy
I meant relative rarity, meaning causing the price to escalate. You are completely right, most US coins compared to almost any other country are common as dirt, and very high priced. Their high price is caused by the number of collectors, meaning certain dates are "relatively rare" compared to demand. We both mean the same thing Guy, maybe I didn't speak mine very well.
Not only survival of good coins, but also needs a demand for them. I think the cents from 1982 to the early 90's especially have some real issues with "dissolving" and not just in the ground. Things you don't generally see on the pre-82 coins. But how many people will be collecting those? I have no idea. If the number of preserved coins from then meet the demand, then you may not have them become "key".
IMO i think the 1978 D dime will be a key date coin. I'll save anyone the time of looking up the mintage its 282 million and change. I've been hoarding dimes for a few years now and i only have a few of those out of the few thousand dimes i have.
Be interesting if when I look at what I have that I would find the same. I'll have to keep that in mind.
A lot of moderns are going to be very elusive because they just weren't saved. Only varieties and gems will be scarce or rare but a lot of coins people believe are dirt common are very tough. Try finding a nice clean '79-D cent that is well made. Try finding a Fine or better '69 quarter that was well made and is damage free. This had a high mintage but it wasn't saved and the attrition and degradation is extremely high. Try finding a few rolls of dimes from recent years.
The Satin Finish coins from 2005-2010 were minted in small numbers by today's standards, and those graded MS69 are relatively hard to get your hands on. If the SMS/Satin Finish coins from these 6 years catch on like Proofs, then there will not be many MS69s to go around. Not to mention, the Satin Finish coins are absolutely stunning and some of the most beautiful coins around.
The first spouse series, especially the uncirculated issues. They have amazingly low numbers and if you have a 20+ yr horizon you'll do extremely well with them.
Also the 2009 95% copper Lincoln business strikes found only in the 2009 uncirculated sets, they have the second lowest mintage of all the Lincoln business strike coins
The 2009 95% copper Lincolns from the mint sets are NOT business strikes -- they are Satin Finish coins. But, your point still stands. The Satin Finish coins from 2005-2010 are very small mintage compared to the circulation varieties of the same designs.